CNN/Time releases both "likely voter" and "registered voter" poll numbers and what these numbers tell us that if Dems actually turnout we will win several of these states. The thing is the pollsters are convinced that just because the GOP is more enthused that they will turn out--of course they are enthused they hear day and night that the GOP is going to win big. Let's hope the Dems prove them wrong:
Colorado--with likely voters Buck is up by five; with registered voters Bennet is up by 3:
Other/Neither No
Bennet Buck (vol.) Opinion
Likely Voters
Sept. 17-21, 2010 44% 49% 4% 3%
Registered Voters
Sept. 17-21, 2010 47% 44% 5% 4%
Delaware--good news all around but with likely voters Coons wins by 16--with registered voters it's a rout--Coons wins by 25-points:
Coons O’Donnell (vol.) Opinion
Likely Voters
Sept. 17-21, 2010 55% 39% 4% 2%
Registered Voters
Sept. 17-21, 2010 59% 34% 5% 2%
Pennsylvania--With likely voters Sesak is within five points, but he is tied with registered voters:
Sestak Toomey (vol.) Opinion
Likely Voters
Sept. 17-21, 2010 44% 49% 4% 3%
Registered Voters
Sept. 17-21, 2010 45% 45% 5% 5%
Wisconsin--perhaps most heartbreaking of all is that among likely voters Feingold is down by 6, but with registered voters he is up by 2:
Feingold Johnson (vol.) Opinion
Likely Voters
Sept. 17-21, 2010 45% 51% 2% 2%
Registered Voters
Sept. 17-21, 2010 48% 46% 3% 3%
http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2010/images/09/22/topstate3.pdf