Despite what the media wants us to believe--Dems appear to be making head way of late

[book_worm]

**KENTUCKY SENATE:
Democrat Jack Conway has cut sharply into Republican Rand Paul's once-commanding lead in Kentucky's U.S. Senate race, moving into a statistical tie with a little more than five weeks before Election Day, according to the latest Courier-Journal/WHAS11 Bluegrass Poll.
According to the poll, Paul leads Conway 49 percent to 47 percent, with 4 percent undecided. That lead is well within the poll's 4 percentage point margin of error.
http://www.courier-journal.com/article/20100925/NEWS0106/309260041/Jack+Conway+pulls+even+with+Rand+Paul+in+Bluegrass+Poll
(In early September Paul led by 15-points in this poll).

***CALIFORNIA SENATE:
Pollster Dates N/Pop Fiorina Boxer Other Undecided Margin
SurveyUSA 9/19-21/10 610 LV 43 49 6 2 +6D
Field 9/14-21/10 599 LV 41 47 - 12 +6D
Rasmussen 9/20/10 750 LV 43 47 4 6 +4D
FOX 9/18/10 1000 LV 46 47 3 4 +1D
PPP (D) 9/14-16/10 614 LV 42 50 - 8 +8D

***CALIFORNIA GOVERNOR:
Pollster Dates N/Pop Whitman Brown Other Undecided Margin
SurveyUSA 9/19-21/10 610 LV 43 46 8 3 +3D
Field 9/14-21/10 599 LV 41 41 - 18 0
Rasmussen 9/20/10 750 LV 46 47 4 3 +1D
FOX 9/18/10 1000 LV 45 45 4 6 0
PPP (D) 9/14-16/10 614 LV 42 47 - 12 +5D
(Plus new LA Times Poll out tomorrow shows Brown leading)

***WASHINGTON SENATE:
Pollster Dates N/Pop Rossi Murray Other Undecided Margin
SurveyUSA 9/19-21/10 609 LV 48 50 - 3 +2D
Rasmussen 9/14/10 750 LV 46 51 1 2 +5D
CNN/Time 9/10-14/10 906 LV 44 53 2 1 +9D
Elway 9/9-12/10 500 LV 41 50 3 7 +9D

****FLORIDA GOVERNOR:
Mason-Dixon 9/20-22/10 625 LV 40 47 - - - - +7D
Rasmussen 9/14/10 750 LV 47 48 - 4 1 - +1D
Ipsos/Reuters 9/10-12/10 486 LV 47 45 - - 8 - +2R
FOX 9/11/10 1000 LV 41 49 - 5 5 - +8D

***NEVADA SENATE/GOVERNOR:
Reid the Elder is up 45-40 over Sharron Angle

Reid the Younger is down to Brian Sandoval, 45-39

Survey conducted this week for Retail Association of Nevada by nationally known Public Opinion Strategies pollster Glen Bolger. RAN is releasing today. Lots of good information on taxes, judical questions also in poll, which is posted at right.
http://www.lasvegassun.com/blogs/ralstons-flash/2010/sep/24/survey-national-gop-pollster-shows-both-reids-gain/

***TEXAS GOVERNOR:
PERRY: 48% WHITE: 42%
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/texas/toplines/toplines_texas_governor_september_22_2010

***ILLINOIS SENATE:
Pollster Dates N/Pop Kirk Giannoulias Jones Other Undecided Margin
Rasmussen 9/21/10 750 LV 44 41 4 4 8 +3R
We Ask America 9/13/10 1379 LV 39 36 4 2 19 +3R

***DELAWARE SENATE:
Pollster Dates N/Pop O'Donnell Coons Other Undecided Margin
CNN/Time 9/17-21/10 703 LV 39 55 4 2 +16D
Rasmussen 9/15/10 500 LV 42 53 1 4 +11D
PPP (D) 9/11-12/10 958 LV 34 50 - 16 +16D

***PENNSYLVANIA SENATE:
Pollster Dates N/Pop Toomey Sestak Other Undecided Not Voting Margin
CNN/Time 9/17-21/10 741 LV 49 44 4 3 - +5R
Quinnipiac 9/15-19/10 684 LV 50 43 - 7 - +7R
FOX 9/18/10 1000 LV 48 40 4 8 - +8R
PoliticsPA/Municipoll 9/15-16/10 912 LV 45 36 - 19 - +9R

***PENNSYLVANIA GOVERNOR:
Pollster Dates N/Pop Corbett Onorato Other Undecided Not Voting Margin
CNN/Time 9/17-21/10 741 LV 52 44 3 2 - +8R
Quinnipiac 9/15-19/10 684 LV 54 39 1 7 - +15R
FOX 9/18/10 1000 LV 49 39 3 9 - +10R
Critical Insights 9/14-16/10 600 LV 38 37 - 25 - +1R

***NEW HAMPSHIRE SENATE:
Pollster Dates N/Pop Ayotte Hodes Other Undecided Margin
Rasmussen 9/15/10 500 LV 51 44 1 4 +7R
PPP (D) 9/11-12/10 1959 LV 47 43 - 9 +4R
Rasmussen 8/5/10 500 LV 51 38 4 6 +13R


http://www.pollster.com/polls/ca/10-ca-sen-ge-fvb.php

[msongs]

1. fightin back works. well whatta ya know :-) act like a repub and.....lose nt

[Proud Liberal Dem]

2. Sometimes it's all a matter of timing too

I think that the Dems were holding their fire more throughout the summer because they knew that they were not going to gain much traction during the summer and they wanted the Repubs to get their hopes (and expectations for themselves) up. With the way that the narrative has been written (by them and for them) by the corporate media, if they don't (re-)take Congress, it's going to really demoralize their base IMHO. Don't get me wrong, I still think we'll lose some seats- that's inevitable. However, the Repubs have to keep all of their current seats and then "run the tables", which seems like a pretty daunting prospect, particularly because of the "teabaggers" whom managed to win in the primaries but will almost certainly lose in the GE. This feels like it's going to end up being a more "mixed" results- assuming that Democrats GOTV.

[RaleighNCDUer]

3. Pretty much how i figure it, too.

We'll lose a few, but it will not be a bloodbath and we'll keep both houses.

It will, however, be even harder to get anything done the next 2 year than it was the past two. I wish we'd accomplished more on a real progressive agenda before this, when we had the numbers and the momentum from Obama's mandate.

[LiberalFighter]

4. Data not readable

[impik]

5. Obama should go to Kentucky. It will be hilarious