DSCC CO Senate Poll: Bennet (D) 48% Buck (R) 46%

[WI_DEM]

POPPING IN SCORE – ROCKY MOUNTAIN TIED: The Colorado Senate race is a two-point contest, with Democratic Sen. Michael Bennet taking 48 percent of the vote to Republican prosecutor Ken Buck’s 46 percent in a poll commissioned by the DSCC. The survey, conducted by the Democratic firm Greenberg Quinlan Rosner, also asked voters to rate their feelings about each of the two candidates on a 100-point scale, with zero being a “very cold” rating and 100 being a “very warm” rating. Bennet scored six points higher than Buck on that scale, pulling an average rating of 43 points to Buck’s 37 points. The numbers underscore just how competitive this race is, six weeks after the primary, as both candidates and Senate committees have gone on the air. The poll tested 800 likely voters from Sept. 22-26

http://www.politico.com/morningscore/

[PBS Poll-435]

1. A big K/R

:)

[tridim]

2. Buck's corporate funded ads are running about 10 to 1 with Bennet's.

And they're horrible, full of blatant lies like "Obama raised your taxes".

[jefferson_dem]

3. Like the result...

Don't like the fact that it's a DSCC poll. In this case, I'll trust it. :)

[Kdillard]

4. Yep. If more polls show a shift I will be thrilled.

[HughMoran]

5. Glad it's tied!

Better than the alternative!

[CreekDog]

6. I wish Maes had run for Senate

:rofl:

[FBaggins]

7. Seems like an alarming number of internal polls being released lately

in answer to "nonpartisan" polling.

It almost ads to the pile-on of bad news... since it's always the side tha knows that it's losing that releases their own internals. Particularly upsetting when the best they could manufacture is a poll that still says "if the election were held today I would lose".


On edit - Better than it's a DSCC poll rather than one done by the campaign itself. At least it doesn't smack of "I'm out of money and need something to show that I'm viable so that I don't get the triage treatment from the party"

[vaberella]

8. What do you think now WI_DEM?!

I remember when I asked about two weeks ago what you thought of our chances and you said we'll definitely lose some seats but not many. What do you think now?! Do you think we might even win some seats and pwn?!

[WI_DEM]

10. I'd like to see a non-partisan poll confirm it.

[FBaggins]

11. Indeed. I find Nate Silver's recent piece particularly telling.

When a candidate appears to trail in a race, he’s going to give you a story about how he’s going to come back (or if he’s a little more enterprising, why he isn’t really trailing in the first place). He’ll talk about how the dynamics of the race are exceptional, about how his internal polls, which are printed on really nice letterhead, show the race to be a dead heat. And he’ll give you some tidbits: Union workers in Wilkes-Barre are breaking 2 to 1 for him, you know, and wait ’til you see his September fundraising numbers, because people are getting energized, just now getting energized, about this campaign, they’re really getting energized, and that was the plan all along, don’cha know.

Politicians — the ones worth their salt, anyway — are exceptionally skilled at making believers out of people, and they’ll try to make a believer out of you. Some of the time, they’ll make a strong enough argument to persuade even the most seasoned observers. But a much smaller fraction of the time will they actually turn out to be right. That’s what the data says, and it says so pretty clearly.

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/09/29/the-uncanny-accuracy-of-polling-averages-part-i-why-you-cant-trust-your-gut/#more-1545

[DevonRex]

9. I spend hours each day calling voters here. The tide has definitely turned

in Bennet's favor. The DSCC ads are great, exposing Buck for the nutty teabagger that he is. Even voters who are inclined to vote out all encumbants are in favor of Bennet since this is his first actual Senate campaign.