Rasmussen Poll--Arkansas Senate: Blanche Lincoln (D) closes gap by 20-points since last poll

[book_worm]

--but still trails 55-37

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in Arkansas shows Boozman earning 55% support, while Lincoln, arguably the nation’s most endangered Democratic senator, picks up 37% of the vote. Three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate, and five percent (5%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

However, this is the first time that Boozman, a U.S. congressman who has led the race in surveys since February, has dropped out of the 60s since the spring. In August, he led Lincoln 65% to 27%, her lowest level of support to date.

www.rasmussenreports.com

[zulchzulu]

1. Wake me up when Bozeman and Lincoln share the 40-ish% in polls

Otherwise, she's going to lose by at least 8%.

[Ken Burch]

2. So what? She's still doomed, and there's no reason we should even WANT her to win.

If she does survive, she's just gonna go on voting against us on everything that mattered, like she's done for the last two years.

There was NEVER any good reason for Obama to back her in the primary. When your president, you don't help re-nominate the people who stabbed you in the back.

[WhiteTara]

3. there is ONE reason

his name is Boozeman! She's terrible but he will be a nightmare.

[Ken Burch]

6. That would only be important if she actually had a chance to win.

She guaranteed her own defeat by fighting successfully to water healthcare reform down to nothing, then voting against it ANYWAY.

Two-thirds of her state is dirt poor, and she sold them out to appease Wall Street and Big Pharma.

Besides, if she does win, she'll end up being within 10% of Boozeman's voting record anyway.

Blanche brought this on herself by fighting to sabotage a Democratic president. There's no way her constituents could actually have wanted that.

[book_worm]

4. Who said she isn't doomed?

[Renew Deal]

5. So you would vote for Boozeman?

Got it.

[Ken Burch]

8. Not what I meant...AND YOU KNOW IT!!!

I'd vote for her with gritted teeth-but a candidate whose doomed to lose at this point couldn't be worth campaigning for. IT doesn't matter what margin she loses by. Boozeman will be just as terrible if he wins by eight points as he would be if he won by thirty.

There's never any good reason to keep canvassing for a candidate who's hopelessly behind.
What matters is the races where we can actually win...agreed?

[Renew Deal]

10. I know

Your rigid comment just makes it sound that way. I agree that time and money shouldn't be spent on her if she's hopeless. I also wouldn't spend money on her from out of state because better candidates have a better chance of winning. If I lived in Arkansas and the race was as hopeless as it is now AND I had to vote for Blanche Lincoln, I'd probably write myself in. :)

[PBS Poll-435]

20. I think you voted for Palin

I really do. A ringer.

[Ken Burch]

23. Bullshit. If it were neck-and-neck, Lincoln would be worth supporting.

No one has ever wiped out an eighteen-point deficit in one month.

[Phx_Dem]

21. Don't be ridiculous. We have every reason to want her to win.

It's called a MAJORITY. Regardless how Lincoln votes, she gives our party the majority which means we get to decide what comes to a vote, we get to control voting process for Supreme Court nominees, and we get to ensure that an investigation isn't launched every time Obama blows his nose or because he didn't attend church on Sunday.

The Republican candidate won't vote with us ever so we might as have a Blue Dog who sometimes votes with us AND give us the majority.

[Ken Burch]

24. All of that would only matter if Lincoln still had a chance.

She doesn't. And, with people like Russ Feingold, Joe Sestak and Barbara Boxer on the bubble, there CAN'T be a good excuse to spend one dollar on somebody who never votes with the party on anything but trivial side issues and won't EVEN pledge to back the party on all organizational votes(something EVERY Dem senator should feel obligated to do).

[AlinPA]

26. That's right, her only value to the Democrats is the count toward a "majority". She is really

a republican in her votes though.

[KingFlorez]

7. She's never lost an election

I'm not saying she'll win, but her odds just got a whole lot better.

[Ken Burch]

9. She's never been behind in an election before.

And nobody can close an eighteen-point gap in one month.

What we need to focus on is the races where REAL Democrats can win. Only people like Boxer, Feingold and Sestak are worth campaigning for now.

Arkansas will be a right-wing dead zone for the rest of eternity. We should just write if off forever, since we can never win there again.

[KingFlorez]

11. I'd rather see her in the seat in Boozman

I said her odds are still long, but they just got a little better. No need arguing, you have your opinion and I have mine.

[Ken Burch]

14. It won't matter who wins the Arkansas seat if we end up in the minority.

It's about resources.

At this stage, the party should triage out any incumbent who's more than ten points down.

And Obama should never have campaigned for her renomination. If the other candidate had prevailed, we'd be competitive in that race.

[FBaggins]

12. She'll only be able to say that for another few weeks.

but her odds just got a whole lot better

This assumes that you accept the earlier Rasmussen poll as accurate. Their current number is consistent with the most recent Ipsos and Mason-Dixon polls.

And while a .0001 chance to .001 chance change may be a tenfold increase... calling it "a whole lot better" is still a stretch. :)

[KingFlorez]

13. Whatever

[Ter]

19. There's plenty of hope in many Senate races

This and Utah there isn't.

[DarthDem]

15. The Only Significance . . .

. . . to this is that it shows how horrid polling in general, and Razzy in particular, has become.

[Mass]

16. This looks like Rasmussen revising previous polls to get them closer to reality.

This is how they have the best polls the week before election day, while trending way too Republican for months.

[AlinPA]

17. Her only value in the senate is that she counts toward a "majority" for us.

[FBaggins]

18. Yep... and if she makes the difference on the majority...

...we don't really have a majority.

[Arkana]

22. Pretty much. Blanche was a seat filler in the Democratic caucus, nothing more.

[Onlooker]

25. She's also a woman ...

... The Senate needs more women, and I'd rather a Blanche Lincoln than any of the Republican women running for Senate, all of whom are to her right.

[ProgressOnTheMove]

27. This is a very good sign if Blanche can gain ground, the whole party can.

[Radical Activist]

28. The corproate wing of the party gave us an unelectable conservative Democrat.

We should have gone with the traditional Democrat. At least we would have a chance. Lincoln's loss will be well deserved after years of serving corporate special interests over her constituents who needed an advocate.