FL Governor Poll: Scott (R) 44% Sink (D) 42%

[book_worm]

Republican Rick Scott has taken the lead over Democrat Alex Sink in Florida's tight gubernatorial contest, according to a new Sunshine State News Poll.

Though Scott's 44-42 advantage, with 14 percent still undecided, is within the margin of error, the Republican holds wider leads with voters most likely to cast ballots, the poll shows.

"Based on this poll, Scott has to be favored to win this," said Jim Lee, president of Voter Survey Service, which conducted the sampling. "His margin is even better among 'excellent' voters, or those most likely to vote (a 3-point advantage), as well as among voters who voted in both the ’08 and '06 general elections (a 4-point lead).

"Conversely, the race flips to Sink by 20 points among those whose chances of voting are only 'good' or 'fair' (42/22 margin), and a 9-point (48/39) Sink lead among '1x' voters which are the sub-sample of those who only cast ballots in the ’08 presidential election but not the ’06 election," Lee said.

http://www.sunshinestatenews.com/story/poll-rick-scott-takes-lead-favored-win

First, how can they say that the candidate with a 2-point lead overall is "favored to win"?? it's a toss up and within the polls margin of error. Secondly, don't they think that some of these voters who say that there is a "good" or "fair" chance that they will vote actually will vote? To believe that only those who say that there is an "excellent" chance they will vote is silly and it's where I think pollsters this year are making a big mistake. Yes, the GOP is more enthused but that doesn't mean that less enthusiastic dems won't vote.

Finally, could any Floridians on here explain why a guy who took the fifth 70 times involving his Medicare billing practices has a realistic chance of being elected Governor of Florida!?

[Kdillard]

1. This is really upsetting. Sink was looking good until recently.

It is close but I would be happier if things were the opposite way in this poll

[monmouth]

2. I don't know for a fact that a majority of this polling is done in northern

Florida, but I would guess that it is. I have a land line, I'm in southern Florida (Palm Beach County) which is large. I've answered two polls on the phone and they dropped me when it became evident I was a Dem. That being said, Sink is very popular down here and Scott is referred to as "mama's boy" and "corrupt." I'm just saying...

[Kdillard]

6. I hope you are right. It will really depend on Gotv.

[bluestateguy]

3. No more polls

nt

[FBaggins]

4. How's that working for ya?

nt

[Freddie Stubbs]

5. No more posts saying "No more polls"