Daily Kos/PPP: Dems have good chance to win GOP House seat in HI IF dems turnout

[book_worm]

Yesterday Kos/PPP found the dems leading in LA for an GOP seat--

HI-01: Democratic challenger Hanabusa leads incumbent Djou
by Jed Lewison
Tue Oct 05, 2010 at 09:00:03 AM PDT
Public Policy Polling for Daily Kos. 10/2-3. Likely voters. MoE 3.9%

Colleen Hanabusa (D) 48
Charles Djou (R) 47
Undecided (R) 5


Despite receiving just 40 percent of the vote, Republican incumbent Charles Djou won a special election in HI-01 earlier this when Democrats divided their votes between Colleen Hanabusa and Ed Case. In November's general election, Djou doesn't have the same good fortune and faces just one of his former special election rivals, Democrat Colleen Hanabusa. Now that the Democratic field is unitied, Hanabusa is carrying a narrow one point lead, giving Democrats a good opportunity to pick up a seat from the GOP.

The only thing making this race close is the enthusiasm gap; if voters turned out at 2008 levels, Hanabusa would have a 54-40 lead. Instead, we're looking at a dead heat. Still, the national trend lines for Democrats are looking good and if Democrats continue to dial in to the election as November approaches, Hanabusa will be in a strong position to win. She's had good success fundraising, keeping pace with Djou in the last fundraising period, and now that she's edged ahead in the polls, HI-01 is looking like a good prospect for Democrats to pick up a seat.

www.dailykos.com

[opihimoimoi]

1. Djou is a GOPer...as such he is in the Party of NO....he is part of a BLOC that stifles advancing

the Nationh...

He is an OBSTRUCTIONIST and should be defeated along with other crazy GOPers

[Kdillard]

2. Fingers crossed. Hope Dems turnout so we can pick this up.