Senate Race rundown--The Northeast--Dems lead in 6 out of 8 races

[WI_DEM]

The Democrats appear to be leading in senate races in Connecticut, Delaware, Maryland, New York--both A & B & Vermont. The GOP is ahead in PA and New Hampshire. If these trends continue the GOP will gain one Senate seat from the Northeast--PA--(which of course they had prior to Specter jumping ship). Hopefully Sestak can pick up ground in the next four weeks.

Connecticut:
Pollster Dates N/Pop McMahon Blumenthal Other Other Undecided Not Voting Margin
CT Capitol Report/Merriman 10/3/10 1623 LV 45 52 - - 3 - +7D
FOX 10/2/10 1000 LV 42 52 3 3 4 - +10D
PPP (D) 9/30-10/2/10 522 LV 41 53 - - 7 - +12D

Delaware:
DE-Sen: 49% Coons (D), 30% O'Donnell (R) (University of Delaware 9/16-30)
Pollster Dates N/Pop O'Donnell Coons Other Undecided Margin
Rasmussen 9/26/10 500 LV 40 49 5 5 +9D
CNN/Time 9/17-21/10 703 LV 39 55 4 2 +16D
Rasmussen 9/15/10 500 LV 42 53 1 4 +11D
PPP (D) 9/11-12/10 958 LV 34 50 - 16 +16D
Rasmussen 9/2/10 500 LV 36 47 8 9 +11D

Maryland:
Pollster Dates N/Pop Wargotz Mikulski Other Undecided Margin
Washington Post 9/22-26/10 730 LV 29 61 - - +32D
Rasmussen 9/15/10 750 LV 38 54 4 4 +16D
Rasmussen 8/17/10 750 LV 39 55 3 3 +16D


New Hampshire:
Pollster Dates N/Pop Ayotte Hodes Other Undecided Margin
UNH 9/23-29/10 472 LV 50 35 2 12 +15R
ARG 9/22-26/10 800 LV 46 32 2 20 +14R
Rasmussen 9/15/10 500 LV 51 44 1 4 +7R
PPP (D) 9/11-12/10 1959 LV 47 43 - 9 +4R


New York (A)
Pollster Dates N/Pop Townsend Schumer Other Undecided Margin
Marist 9/19-22/10 617 LV 38 59 - 3 +21D
SurveyUSA 9/20-21/10 572 LV 33 54 10 3 +21D
Quinnipiac 9/26-20/10 751 LV 38 54 1 7 +16D
Siena 9/16-18/10 788 RV 30 63 - 6 +33D
Rasmussen 9/16/10 500 LV 36 58 3 4 +22D

New York (B)
Pollster Dates N/Pop DioGuardi Gillibrand Other Undecided Not Voting Margin
Marist 9/19-22/10 617 LV 42 54 - 4 - +12D
SurveyUSA 9/20-21/10 572 LV 44 45 8 4 - +1D
Quinnipiac 9/26-20/10 751 LV 42 48 2 9 - +6D
Siena 9/16-18/10 788 RV 31 57 - 12 - +26D
Rasmussen 9/16/10 500 LV 39 49 4 7 - +10D
Rasmussen 9/1/10 500 LV 31 51 5 13 - +20D

Pennsylvania:

Pollster Dates N/Pop Toomey Sestak Other Undecided Not Voting Margin
Muhlenberg 9/28-10/4/10 577 LV 45 38 - 7 - +7R
Rasmussen 9/29/10 750 LV 49 40 4 7 - +9R
Susquehanna 9/23-29/10 700 LV 45 42 - 11 - +3R
Marist/McClatchy 9/26-28/10 468 LV 51 42 1 6 - +9R
Suffolk 9/24-27/10 500 RV 45 40 - 14 - +5R
Franklin and Marshall College 9/20-26/10 436 LV 38 29 1 32 - +9R
Muhlenberg 9/18-23/10 445 LV 46 39 - 14 - +7R

Vermont:
Pollster Dates N/Pop Britton Leahy Other Undecided Margin
Rasmussen 9/13/10 500 LV 32 62 2 4 +30D
Rasmussen 6/17/10 500 LV 29 64 3 4 +35D

[hedgehog]

1. Time to ignore O'Donnel and go after Toomey.

[Kdillard]

2. Exactly.

[ClarkUSA]

4. Local OFA groups in my area have been GOTV for months already.

We could always do with more help, though.

Democratic vote-rich Philadelphia and its suburbs are the main target. Pittsburgh is a secondary target.

[Beetwasher]

5. OFA Is Going The Be The REAL Story Of This Election: They Are An Efficient MONSTER

Quietly going about their business, almost under the radar, but people are going to be wondering after the election "Whuh happened?" and scratching their heads at Dem turnout. And it will be because of Obama's baby OFA.

[ClarkUSA]

6. Shhhh!

;)

:fistbump:

[Beetwasher]

7. I Love Surprises!

:toast:

[Kdillard]

8. Thanks for the good news. It heartens me.

[Beetwasher]

3. And Buck (CO) And Johnson (WI)

n/t

[ChairmanAgnostic]

9. but. . . she's an endless supply of jaw dropping

amazement. Like a slo mo visual of a flood taking down a bridge, as a fully loaded ammo train approaches the abyss, going far too fast to slow down in time.