(R)asmussen FL-SEN POLL: Rubio 50, Crist 25, Meek 19

[jefferson_dem]

I know...I know. It's (R)asmussen. But still, things are looking really dire in FL right now. It might be best that Meek sticks it out...to help with turnout that might benefit Sink for Governor, if nothing else.

Coming off a contentious televised debate, Republican Marco Rubio has now jumped to a two-to-one lead over Independent candidate Charlie Crist in Florida’s U.S. Senate race. Democratic Congressman Kendrick Meek still runs third.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in Florida shows Rubio with 50% of the vote, up nine points from just over a week ago and his best showing in the race to date. Support for Crist, the state’s current GOP governor, has fallen to a new low of 25%, while Meek captures 19%. Three percent (3%) like another candidate in the race, and three percent (3%) more are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

The race moves from Leans Republican to Solid Republican in the Rasmussen Reports Election 2010 Senate Balance of Power rankings.

Late last month, Rubio picked up 41% support to Crist’s 30% and Meek’s 21%. Prior to this survey, support for Rubio since mid-April has ranged from 34% to 41%. During that same period, Crist has gotten 30% to 38% of the vote, while Meek’s backing has fallen in the 15% to 23% range.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/florida/election_2010_florida_senate

[DemocratSinceBirth]

1. My Post From Another Thread With A Post Script

If Crist had a chance of defeating Rubio it might have made sense to cast a "strategic" vote for him. However that does not seem the case. The cake is baked and barring a seismic shift in the race Rubio is going to win. It doesn't make sense to alienate a large part of the Democratic base on a lost cause.


Now that we got that out of the way, Marco Rubio is a GOP wet dream. He touts conservative platitudes, is young, handsome, has a beautiful wife and children. And did I mention he's a member of the nation's fastest growing minority without whose votes Democrats can not win. He will certainly parlay his Senate Seat into something larger. That's why Jeb Bush groomed him for this day.

Democrats will rue the day they didn't stop him in this election just as we rue the day we didn't stop George W. Bush in his 1994 gubernatorial race against Ann Richards.


P.S. What a train wreck.

[FBaggins]

2. I find it hard to believe that the race has opened up that fast.

Rubio has been essentially stuck around 40-42% for some time now... with the only changes in the race being a flow back and forth in support for Meek and Crist. Suddenly he jumps ~10 points?

I've already written this race off... but this poll doesn't make sense to me.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

5. Me Too

But I assure you Rubio becomes a player. When political scientists suggested demographic shifts would ensure an enduring Democratic majority that suggestion was predicated on Democrats winning the majority of Latino votes. Marco Rubio endangers that for the reasons I cited.

[Gman]

3. Meek should drop out and endorse Crist

Crist would likely caucus with the Democrats anyway.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

6. It's Too Late

Snap

[tritsofme]

4. Even the Rubio camp calls it an outlier

A statement from Rubio adviser Todd Harris: “Rasmussen’s numbers have been pretty close all year, and while it’s always better to be up than down, the reality is that this poll is an outlier...”
http://www.weeklystandard.com/blogs/rubio-hits-50_501137.html

[Dawson Leery]

7. Rubio has been at 40% for the past 2 weeks.

Suddenly he is getting half the vote?
Not buying it (R)as.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

9. Polls Have A .95 Confidence Level

That essentialy means one out of every twenty polls is garbage.

That being said this race is probably over.

[Dawson Leery]

10. With Meek and Crist splitting the vote.

Rubio cannot get 50%. Rubio is favored to win, but with a mere 40%.

[FrenchieCat]

8. Posting these polls constantly is going to make us lose......

worse than we might otherwise.

I note that magically, these polls results are almost all over the place,
and yet they are still posted everywhere......

I'm gonna have to check out of DU for a while,
as I am getting hella of depressed!