Reuters/Ipsos Generic Congressional poll. R48 -D44

[FBaggins]

Comment - This may appear to be the worst Ipsos poll yet, but note that it's the first likely voter poll that they've released. Accounting for that, the poll represents little to no actual change.

The national poll found that Americans plan to vote for Republicans over Democratic candidates by 48 percent to 44 percent, an edge that will likely give Republicans dozens of seats in the House and big gains in the Senate.

The poll numbers suggest Republicans would win around 227 seats in the House to 208 for the Democrats, Ipsos pollster Cliff Young said. In the Senate, the poll indicates Democrats would retain control but with a smaller, 52-to-48 seat margin.

A split Congress like that could mean political gridlock after November as the United States struggles to overcome high unemployment, the gaping budget deficit and a fierce debate over tax cuts. Much will depend on whether Obama and Republicans can work together.



http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE69451X20101013

[county worker]

1. It's almost as if they already have a story and need a poll to support it.

I don't see how the poll can suggest anything since the House seats are not homogeneous. I mean that some states a have a couple of seats and others have a lot more depending on population. What is true about the country as a whole is not true about individual states. The population centers in New York and California would not reflect this national poll. I think you need to look at a state by state listing of polls to tell anything definitive about the House.

These stories are meant to discourage Dem voters in my opinion.

[Kdillard]

2. That is what the goal has been from all the media coverage and polls.

[FBaggins]

3. Are YOU less likely to vote?

or more so... knowing what the polls say?

[Kdillard]

4. More but look at the website I am on.

[county worker]

5. I vote no matter what the polls say.

I don't think everyone is like me.

[budkin]

6. That's not bad for likely voters... Gallup has huge likely margins