Carney Poll Shows Strong Lead in Pennsylvania

[WI_DEM]

The day after an independent poll showed Rep. Christopher Carney (D) trailing his Republican challenger, the Carney campaign released internal polling that paints a far different picture of the race in Pennsylvania's 10 district.

Carney, a Blue Dog Democrat elected in 2006 in a conservative district, led former U.S. Attorney Tom Marino by 7 points -- 48 percent to 41 percent -- according to a survey of 400 likely voters conducted Oct. 12-13 by the Democratic firm Momentum Analysis.

The margin of error was 4.9 points.

And it comes among a steady stream of negative press regarding Marino's departure from the U.S. Attorney's office.

"After weeks of mounting criticism of his tenure as US Attorney, Marino is increasingly unpopular," Momentum Analysis pollster Margie Omero wrote in a polling memo. "He is better-known now (66 percent) than in our last poll in late September (54 percent). But to know Marino is not to like him, as he's now more clearly unpopular (30 percent favorable, 36 percent unfavorable)."

On Thursday, however, a poll compiled by the research firm Critical Insights of Portland, Maine, showed Marino with a 44 percent to 38 percent lead over Carney among likely voters.

http://blogs.cqpolitics.com/eyeon2010/2010/10/carney-internal-poll-shows-str.html

[bigdarryl]

1. I don't trust internel polling on either side