Good news if it's accurate. Obviously any incumbent stuck at 40 is in trouble, but the most recent poll in this race had the republican up by eleven. They're too close in time for it to represent a shift in the electorate, but it certainly casts doubt on the earlier poll.
And even a democratic polling firm had Kratovil down by three less than a month ago.
Democratic Rep. Frank Kratovil and Republican challenger Andy Harris are running dead even in Maryland's hottest midterm election contest, a new Baltimore Sun poll shows.
The same candidates fought to a near draw two years ago. In the latest poll, each man was favored by 40 percent of likely voters.
This year, with control of Congress in play, Maryland's easternmost district features one of the most closely watched, and expensive, House races in the country. Both sides have subjected voters to a heavy dose of negative advertising that has shaped opinions about the candidates.
http://www.baltimoresun.com/news/maryland/politics/bs-md-first-district-poll-20101021,0,2964105.story