CNN/Time Poll: PA Senate--Toomey 49% Sestak 45%

[WI_DEM]

CNN) - Six days before the midterm elections, a new poll indicates that it's too close to call in the fight for an open Senate seat in Pennsylvania.

According to a CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation survey released Wednesday, Republican nominee and former congressman Pat Toomey holds a 49 to 45 percent advantage over Rep. Joe Sestak, the Democrats' nominee, among likely voters in the Keystone State, with six percent undecided or backing another candidate. Toomey's four point margin is within the poll's sampling error.

Full results (pdf)

Other surveys out in the past few days have ranged from an eight point Toomey lead in a Franklin and Marshall survey to the two candidates dead even in a Reuters/Ipsos survey.

The CNN/Time survey indicates that Toomey leads 88 to 6 percent among Republicans and holds a 54 to 41 percent advantage among independent voters while Sestak leads 87 to 8 percent among Democrats.

"About one in four self-described independents say they support the Tea Party movement, and Toomey is winning handily among that group," says CNN Polling Director Keating Holland. "What's keeping Sestak's hopes alive is his 14-point lead among independents who don't support the Tea Party."

In a sign that enthusiasm for voting appears to be on the Republican side, when expanded from those likely to vote to the larger sample of all registered voters, Sestak holds a 47 to 43 percent advantage, with five percent undecided.

http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2010/10/27/cnntime-poll-toomey-up-4-points-in-pennsylvania-senate-battle/

[catgirl]

1. Funny how CNN polls have all the close races going repug

All of them. Screw CNN!

[okieinpain]

3. yeah it's like a drum beat. dems are doomed, dems are doomed

it gets really depressing after a while. you really have to concentrate not to let it get to you.

[prolesunited]

8. I don't mind

Maybe Republicans will think they don't have to bother to vote.

[dennis4868]

2. This poll and the Harry Reid/ Sharon Angle poll...

are a little troublesome since Toomey and Angle have held on to their (small) leads for awhile now.....SHIT!

[RBInMaine]

9. GOTV !!

[kentuck]

4. Sestak leads by 14 points with "independents"??

I thought Toomey was a favorite of the Tea Baggers??

[wisteria]

5. How accurate are these CNN polls? n/t

[RBInMaine]

7. I'm willing to bet they lean RePUG. Seems like it compared to others. GOTV is KEY !!

[Dawson Leery]

6. GOTV

[mvd]

10. Again, it's that big reg-likely voter gap in these CNN polls

Toomey may be slightly ahead, but I'm not big on these CNN polls' accuracy. We can easily win in PA if the Democrats turn out.