New National Poll: President Obama approval rating jumps as energized dem base makes it a 46-46 tie

[Politics_Guy25]

YES! I'd call this a bit of a bombshell.

Up 7 points among RV and 46-46 among LV. President Obama's approval rating is up as well to 48%

http://www.miamiherald.com/2010/10/27/v-fullstory/1894965/poll-obama-regains-ground-among.html


Poll: Obama regains ground among independents, young
.By STEVEN THOMMA
McClatchy Newspapers
WASHINGTON -- President Barack Obama has improved his standing among voters, and Democrats finally have started to energize their base, but it might be too little and too late to change the course of Tuesday's elections, according to a new McClatchy-Marist poll.

The national survey found that Obama's weeks of campaigning across the country have paid off with higher approval ratings for him, particularly among independents and the young and in the Northeast.

At the same time, Democratic voters now are more enthusiastic than they were at the beginning of October.

Still, Obama's overall approval rating remains split - 48 percent of registered voters approve of the way he's doing his job, while 43 percent disapprove. Among likely voters, the numbers are a shade worse, with 47 percent approving and 48 percent disapproving.

:bounce:

[struggle4progress]

1. forget the polls: gotv

[bluestateguy]

2. No more polls

[Pirate Smile]

3. Here is the part that drives me - and will drive the public crazy after the election:

"While voters are signaling their anxiety - 54 percent say the country is headed in the wrong direction - that doesn't mean they want a new Republican Congress to reject Obama completely.

By a margin of 72-22, registered voters want Republicans to work with Obama to get things done rather than stand firm if it means gridlock. Among likely voters, the margin is 68-27.

Favoring bipartisan cooperation were 75 percent of independents. Notably, 46 percent of Republicans said they want a Republican Congress to work with Obama.

Contrary any talk of a clear mandate for the Republican agenda on Tuesday, likely voters split almost evenly, with 37 percent saying Obama has a better agenda, 31 percent saying the Republicans have a better agenda, and 27 percent saying neither has the better plan."

Electing more Republicans will just create more gridlock, not less.

[pnorman]

4. "Favoring bipartisan cooperation were 75 percent of independents............."

Could it be that Obama had read the mind of the American voter accurately, from the very beginning?

[Cosmocat]

7. The extremes on either end just don't get it ...

BO is doing the right thing, has been all along ...

Rs just are friggen children, literally, and will be the victim and throw a fit either way.

But, he made a promise and has held up his end.

[Teaser]

9. the american voter does not have a mind

it has a set of reptilian reflex circuits.

[Pirate Smile]

11. The problem is that voters are rewarding Republicans for blocking everything so Republican & the new

teabaggers are just going to do more of it.

They are going to get MORE gridlock by electing Republicans, not less.

People who think the Government has NOT done enough so they vote for Republicans ARE IDIOTS. I'm sorry. It is totally true.

People who want the Government to do more to spur job growth so they vote for Republicans ARE IDIOTS. Republicans are pushing austerity except for the rich and big business - the crap that led the economy off the cliff.

I wish people would just THINK.

[BootinUp]

5. I may be bad for saying this, but

perhaps the 27% who are lost should go figure it out before voting.

"Contrary any talk of a clear mandate for the Republican agenda on Tuesday, likely voters split almost evenly, with 37 percent saying Obama has a better agenda, 31 percent saying the Republicans have a better agenda, and 27 percent saying neither has the better plan."

[Imajika]

6. This poll and the Newsweek poll would indicate...

...Democrats were set to do quite well come election day - at least hold our own.

"Overall, registered voters favor an unnamed Democrat for Congress over a Republican by a margin of 47-41. However, those likely to vote are evenly divided 46-46."

You have to wonder what is going on when every major political analyst seems to believe a Democratic bloodbath is on the way, yet polls like this point to something else entirely. Either things are rapidly improving and the experts and pollsters like Rasmussen and Gallup just aren't picking it up, or these are serious outliers.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

8. The Results Of The Polls And Their Election Prediction Are Mutually Exclusive

"President Barack Obama has improved his standing among voters, and Democrats finally have started to energize their base, but it might be too little and too late to change the course of Tuesday's elections, according to a new McClatchy-Marist poll."


If there is indeed a 46%-46% tie in the generic popular votes it is implausible that the Democrats will lose anywhere near the number of seats that has become part of conventional wisdom. I also noticed Newsweek's recent poll didn't prevent them from printing an issue with "Speaker" Boehner on the cover.

[bigdarryl]

10. hey Steven Thomma it's NEVER!!!! to late ASSHOLE

[Robbins]

12. The Public

This election Is not really a total rejection of Obama agenda and total acceptance of Republican agenda.The Independent voters
want things to get done and believe voting for Republicans will force both parties to work together.Unfortunately many of these don't
pay attention to Republicans.The fact Is Obama has done more to work with the other side than any President and they refuse to even
going against things they used to support.

Pundits could have some egg on their faces after the election.Republicans will still make gains but maybe not the wave they
keep telling people about.Early voting looks good for Democrats.And many of these pundits didn't see us picking up 30 House
seats and 6 Senate seats In 2006 and 8 senate seats In 2008(I know this Is not a good compassion to now but still needs to be
remembered)

This may be more 1982 and 1998 than 1994.Obama Is more popular than Reagan was In 1982 and Clinton In 1994.Don't forget In 1994
Democrats had controlled the House for 40 years.Their was a number of House scandals.And there was a huge number of Senate
retirements On the Democratic side.Back In 1982 It was thought Democrats could Increase their narrow House majority by over 50
and take back the senate.They picked up 26 House seats but only 1 senate seat.And Reagan was at 42 percent.In 1998 most senate races(Except Carol Mosley braun VS Peter fitzgerald In Illinois) broke In Democrats favor(Including Harry Reid,Barbara Boxer,and Russ
Feingold) and 2 anti Clinton Senators were surprisingly beaten.And 5 House seats were won by Democrats.The pundits keep saying the
Clinton Scandal was going to hurt Democrats,and Republicans were going to make gains.The opposite happened.

MSNBC,and 538.COm are already trying to cover themselves If Democrats keep the House.Instead of 47-50 seats the pundits keep saying
what If Republicans win 30-35 seats but lose 5 of their own present seats?

The Pundits keep talking about 7,8 pick up by Republicans In the senate.But their ignore regis ted voters In polls and the fact
Democrats are showing up In Early voting.ND,Indiana,and Arkansas will all be won by Republicans but Democrats could win In Nevada,
Colorado,Illinois,PA.If Feingold can prevail In Wisconsin as well that would leave Republicans with 3 pickups.The Democrat will
probally win In West Virginia although It remains to be seen In the long run how good It will be.Considering now evidence suggests
a upset Is passable In Alaska that could be even more bad news for Republicans and their pundits.

Alaska Is prob ally the only Republican held seat that could flip In the senate however Democrats In all states should go out and
vote.I am doing that In Missouri despite them telling me Roy Blunt Is Inevitable winner.Although It should be pointed out In
Missouri local polling have It closer than national polling.And like all states Likely Voters screens may be screwed to exclude
Some Democrats they assume won't be voting.

In governor's races too some polling suggests Wisconsin,PA,Illinois,Ohio may not be hopeless If Democrats get out and vote.Alex
Sink can still win In Florida too.