ABC/ Washington Post Poll--Generic ballot--Rep: 49% (no change) Dem: 45% (+2)

[book_worm]

4/4a/4b. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) If the election for the U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, would you vote for (the Democratic candidate) or (the Republican candidate) in your congressional district? (IF OTHER, NEITHER, DK, REF) Would you lean toward the (Democratic candidate) or toward the (Republican candidate)? (IF RV AND ALREADY VOTED) Confidentially and for statistical purposes only, did you vote for (the Democratic candidate) or (the Republican candidate)?
NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE - LIKELY VOTERS

Dem Rep Other Neither Will not No
cand. cand. (vol.) (vol.) vote (vol.) opinion
10/28/10 45 49 1 1 0 3
10/3/10 43 49 1 2 0 4
9/2/10 40 53 1 1 * 5

Meanwhile turnout will be the key because among Registered voters, Dems lead by 5:

NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE - REGISTERED VOTERS

Dem Rep Other Neither Will not No
cand. cand. (vol.) (vol.) vote (vol.) opinion
10/28/10 49 44 1 2 * 3
10/3/10 47 43 1 3 1 5
9/2/10 45 47 1 2 1 5

This Washington Post-ABC News poll was conducted by telephone October 25 to 28, 2010, among a random national sample of 1,202 adults, including users of both conventional and cellular phones. The results from the full survey and for the 1,015 registered voters have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus three percentage points; it is four points for the sample of 786 likely voters. Sampling, data collection and tabulation by TNS of Horsham, Pa.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/politics/polls/postpoll_10302010.html?sid=ST2010103100110

[Politics_Guy25]

1. ABC is a joke-what kind of pollster stops polling 5 days before a volatile election

Elections dramatically change in the final weekend. This is ridiculous. A poll finished on 10/28 picks up no late-breaking events.

And yesterday and today the dems have won the news cycle big time with some pretty big events.

Toss it out in my eyes.

[Imajika]

2. These numbers actually look a little better...

At least around the margins.

This poll only shows them up by 4 among likely voters.

[oswaldactedalone]

3. The question then becomes

What are each of you doing to get "unlikely" voters out to the polls in the next three days? I'm taking Monday and Tuesday off to do a variety of things in my area. What can you do to help and will you do it?