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Who is Obama's base? well, according to polls: dems, liberals, latinos, blacks, post grads, young

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WI_DEM Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Dec-09-10 12:25 PM
Original message
Who is Obama's base? well, according to polls: dems, liberals, latinos, blacks, post grads, young
Edited on Thu Dec-09-10 12:56 PM by WI_DEM
Domenico Montanaro writes: While some think President Obama's "core" coalition "has been shattered," here are some numbers from our latest NBC News-Wall Street Journal poll that looks at Obama's approval among some of those "core" groups:

- Blacks: 90% approve/6% disapprove
- Democrats: 82/12
- Liberals: 79/16
- Latinos: 56/33
- Post grads: 56/41
- UPDATE: 18-29: 53/38
- UPDATE 2: NBC's Ana Maria Arumi notes that in the 2010 midterm exit polls, voters 18-29 said they approved of the president's job by a 62/38 margin, which is close to how they voted in 2008 -- 66/32
- Women: 52/43
- 18-34: 49/43

http://firstread.msnbc.msn.com/_news/2010/12/06/5596757-obama-core-coalition-hardly-shattered

p.s.
Here is how Obama is doing among "the base" in a few states in recent polls according to Public Policy Polling:

Michigan:
Obama has decent approval numbers in Michigan with 50% of voters giving him good marks to 45% who are unhappy with his job performance. Democrats are pretty universally still happy with him, with 90% expressing approval. Republicans strongly disapprove of Obama but not quite to the extent that Democrats like him- 85% of them give the President bad marks. Independents split slightly in favor of Obama, approving of him by a 47/44 margin.

Minnesota:
Obama's not particularly popular in Minnesota. 49% of voters in the state approve of him while 46% disapprove. His numbers are pretty completely polarized with 89% of Democrats approving of him and 90% of Republicans disapproving. Independents are pretty closely divided but lean slightly in favor of the President's performance by a 48/44 spread.

North Carolina:

Ideology
Liberal Moderate Conservative
Obama Approval
Approve
Disapprove
Not sure
45% 81% 58% 18%
51% 17% 36% 79%
4% 2% 6% 3%

Virginia:

Base
Ideology
Liberal Moderate Conservative
Obama Approval
Approve
Disapprove
Not sure
50% 87% 68% 10%
45% 10% 26% 86%
5% 3% 6% 4%

www.publicpolicypolling





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jaxx Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Dec-09-10 12:28 PM
Response to Original message
1. Yep a lot of people are the base. Not just one little slice of them.
The base is big, not small.
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NRaleighLiberal Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Dec-09-10 12:28 PM
Response to Original message
2. And when was that poll taken? I think there would be some shifts if not absolutely current. n/t
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stray cat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Dec-09-10 12:31 PM
Response to Original message
3. DU doesn't own him?
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Clio the Leo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Dec-09-10 12:37 PM
Response to Reply #3
5. shocker huh? nt
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Name removed Donating Member (0 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Dec-09-10 12:31 PM
Response to Original message
4. Deleted message
Sub-thread removed by moderator. Click here to review the message board rules.
 
Fearless Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Dec-09-10 12:41 PM
Response to Original message
6. Looking at trends over time would be valuable. This is not.
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WI_DEM Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Dec-09-10 12:43 PM
Response to Reply #6
7. Ok do some research on line and look up at trends and I think
Edited on Thu Dec-09-10 12:45 PM by WI_DEM
you'll find there has been little in the last year erosion among the president's basic base.
P.S.
It's also more valuable than some posters on DU claiming that Obama's base is leaving him without anything to back it up except their own opinions.
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no limit Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Dec-09-10 12:51 PM
Response to Reply #7
8. In may 66% of latinos supported Obama. How is that for a trend line?
Edited on Thu Dec-09-10 12:52 PM by no limit
Earlier this year among self identified liberals support was in the 90% range.

Google is a great thing, isn't it?
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WI_DEM Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Dec-09-10 01:04 PM
Response to Reply #8
10. Boy you are going out on a limb
Edited on Thu Dec-09-10 01:07 PM by WI_DEM
nobody said that there hasn't been some falling off, but really you are trying to say that 79% approval among self described liberals and 82% approval overall among democratic voters isn't significant and doesn't represent a strong endorsement of the president overall among the base.

compare that with how Bill Clinton was faring among liberals in 1994 and early 1995:

History, too, suggests that Obama hasn't lost any outsized chunk of his liberal base.

In a January 1995 Washington Post/ABC poll, 65 percent of liberals approved of the job President Bill Clinton was doing while 32 percent disapproved. (Overall, 45 percent approved of the job Clinton was doing while 51 percent disapproved.)

Gallup's December 1994 data shows similar numbers with Clinton at 61 percent, 65 percent and 66 percent in its three weekly tracking polls of that month.

http://voices.washingtonpost.com/thefix/white-house/does-obama-have-a-liberal-prob.html

And if you think those numbers indicate a strong call for a challenge to the president in a primary then I want some of what you are smoking.

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no limit Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Dec-09-10 01:09 PM
Response to Reply #10
11. Losing 10% of latinos in 7 months isn't significant?
Nor is losing over 10% of over self identified liberals in the same period?

Would you like to bet that the next poll asking liberals what they think will be even lower than it is today?
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WI_DEM Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Dec-09-10 01:26 PM
Response to Reply #11
12. There is no revolt which is what some on DU would like
it appears among hispanics they didn't go to disapprove but to undecided.
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no limit Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Dec-09-10 01:30 PM
Response to Reply #12
13. Nobody said anything about a revolt. But Obama's support among his base keeps dropping
and if the trend line is any indication it will keep dropping all the way till 2012.
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Fearless Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Dec-09-10 12:57 PM
Response to Reply #7
9. Other than DUers look to
KO, Bernie Sanders, the House Democrats who voted NOT to take up the tax bill this afternoon... Umm.. what more do you want? A Gallup poll? ...Like the ones we didn't trust during the election because they were "biased".

:eyes:
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ProudDad Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Dec-09-10 01:32 PM
Response to Original message
14. Gee, all the folks that he's pissing on
in order to make nice with the republicans... :eyes:

And please his corporate capitalist masters...
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