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NY TIMES: In Tax Benefits to the Middle, Political Lift for Obama

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dennis4868 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Dec-13-10 10:52 AM
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NY TIMES: In Tax Benefits to the Middle, Political Lift for Obama
WASHINGTON — With the Senate poised to hold a key vote on Monday on the tax cut deal between President Obama and Republicans, the political jousting has focused on what the agreement does for the wealthy by extending all of the Bush-era tax rates, and for the unemployed, by continuing jobless aid.

But a hefty portion of the $858 billion tax package will benefit middle- and upper-middle-income Americans — precisely the demographic that felt neglected the last two years as the White House and Congress focused on the major health care law and on helping the unemployed and people facing foreclosure.

These new tax breaks are in addition to the cuts Mr. Obama had always planned to maintain on all but the highest incomes, and they could pay big political dividends to Mr. Obama and other Democrats in 2012 — a point that the president and some senior advisers are counting on, and one reason that they were willing to give in to Republican demands to extend all Bush-era tax rates.

Austan Goolsbee, the chairman the White House Council of Economic Advisers, appearing Sunday on “Meet the Press” on NBC, said Mr. Obama was still convinced there was no economic benefit to continuing lower tax rates for the highest earners.

“That’s a bitter pill to have to deal with,” Mr. Goolsbee said. “But it’s a compromise, and by giving that one piece we were able to get a series of things that I think make a big difference to the middle class and working families.”

The full scope of those goodies is fully discernible only by poring over the bill and its head-spinning array of provisions

The single most expensive component of the package — other than the continuation of all of the marginal rates — is a two-year adjustment of the alternative minimum tax, to prevent it from hitting millions more households. This would insulate couples with income up to $72,450 in 2010 and $74,450 in 2011 at a cost of $137 billion, according to a detailed cost analysis by the Congressional Joint Committee on Taxation.

Middle- and upper-middle-income Americans will also benefit most from the one-year payroll tax cut, which will reduce the Social Security tax on income up to $106,800 to 4.2 percent from 6.2 percent. For couples with two incomes, each above the maximum, the tax savings will be $4,272. That provision will cost $112 billion.

The extension of jobless benefits, by contrast, will cost just under $57 billion, according to the joint tax committee.

And other provisions that benefit the middle class have gotten virtually no attention, including a temporary repeal of a limit on itemized deductions and repeal of the phaseout for personal exemptions. Together, those tax breaks will cost nearly $21 billion.

Mr. Goolsbee said the White House was betting that after a two-year extension of tax policies of President George W. Bush, it would be far harder for Republicans to defend the tax cuts for the wealthy in 2012, when the economy is expected to be stronger, thereby weakening their argument that allowing tax rates to rise for the rich would hamper the recovery.

The rest of the article is here...http://www.nytimes.com/2010/12/13/us/politics/13tax.html?_r=3&pagewanted=print
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mikekohr Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Dec-13-10 10:56 AM
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1. More inconvenient facts
folks aren't going to like this.
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jpgray Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Dec-13-10 10:56 AM
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2. Economy recovers: "The tax cuts are working!" Economy struggles: "Don't raise taxes!"
Edited on Mon Dec-13-10 10:57 AM by jpgray
Goolsbee, your whiteboards are going to be powerless against this can we just kicked down the road. Anyone buy this line that in '12 we can end the tax cuts?
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niceypoo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Dec-13-10 11:01 AM
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3. More supply side
More supply side is all that is left once you have kicked the Democratic fiscal responsibility can down the road.

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LongTomH Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Dec-13-10 11:10 AM
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4. Tax cuts DO NOT stimulate the economy AND they DO NOT provide jobs
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rfranklin Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Dec-13-10 11:12 AM
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5. Great, except the economy cannot "recover" without jobs...
It doesn't matter how low the taxes go if you don't remedy the 20% unemployment. And, as we know, this ain't gonna do it! However, if all the unemployed get discouraged and don't vote it may work for his reelection.
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Phx_Dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Dec-13-10 02:24 PM
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6. Thanks Dennis! rec
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GinaMaria Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Dec-13-10 02:40 PM
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7. Tax cuts in general are not a good way to stimulate the economy
If we are truly focused on stimulating the economy, we need to look at spending (specifically 4 types/areas)

http://www.economy.com/mark-zandi/documents/assissing-t...

Check Table 1 on page 4

Fiscal Economic Bang for the Buck
One year $ change in real GDP for a given $ reduction in federal tax revenue or increase
in spending

Tax Cuts
Non-refundable lump-sum tax rebate 1.02
Refundable lump-sum tax rebate 1.26

Temporary tax cuts
payroll tax holiday 1.29
Across the board tax cut 1.03
Accelerated depreciation 0.27

Permanent tax cuts
Extend alternative minimum tax patch 0.48
Make Bush income tax cuts permanent 0.29
Make dividend and capital gains tax cuts permanent 0.37
Cut in corporate tax rate 0.30

Spending Increases
Extending UI benefits 1.64
Temporary increase in food stamps 1.73
General aid to state governments 1.36
Increased infrastructure spending 1.59

The biggest bang for our buck is in Spending increases. UI benefits return 1.64 dollars for every dollar spent. Food stamps 1.73

Permanent tax cuts? yeild less than gets paid out. That's the losing strategy.
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