Using polls two years away to predict Obama's defeat is like these predictions

[zulchzulu]

"It will be years -- not in my time -- before a woman will become Prime Minister."
-- Margaret Thatcher, 1974.



"We don't like their sound, and guitar music is on the way out."
-- Decca Recording Co. rejecting the Beatles, 1962.



"Who the hell wants to hear actors talk?"
-- H. M. Warner, Warner Brothers, 1927.



"The bomb will never go off. I speak as an expert in explosives."
-- Admiral William Leahy, U.S. Atomic Bomb Project.



"There is no reason anyone would want a computer in their home."
-- Ken Olson, president, chairman and founder of Digital Equipment Corp., 1977.



"I think there is a world market for maybe five computers."
-- Thomas Watson, chairman of IBM, 1943.



"This 'telephone' has too many shortcomings to be seriously considered
as a means of communication. The device is inherently of no value to us."
-- Western Union internal memo, 1876.



"Everything that can be invented has been invented."
-- Attributed to Charles H. Duell, Commissioner, U.S. Office of Patents, 1899.

Just as these people were so sure of themselves and made "bold" predictions, those who think polls taken in 2010 will be relevant in 2012 are kidding themselves.

[zulchzulu]

1. Free poster!

[DemocratSinceBirth]

3. If The Ideologues

If the ideologues on the left and right get their way and the compromise fails causing the recovery to stall the predictions of an Obama defeat seem likely,

[Exilednight]

5. If the bill passes, the economy will not stall, it will go backwards. There is no

incentive for employers to hire more workers. In fact, this bill does the opposite, it gives employers an incentive to lay off more workers and/or outsource more jobs as they keep more of their earnings knowing that they will not get taxed.

If the tax cuts were tied to a companies growth and hiring practices, then they would make sense.

What is Obama going to compromise when this new round of unemployment benefits run out?

[truthspeak]

2. How could you forget the biggest one? lol...

" a black man will never be president of the USA"

-- everybody

[Name removed]

4. Deleted message

Message removed by moderator. Click here to review the message board rules.

[Union Scribe]

6. Doesn't that also apply to people predicting his landslide re-election?

[robcon]

7. He won't win in a landslide, but he'll win comfortably, like he did in '08

He's locked up a lot of independent voters with the tax deal. They're the ones who put him over the top in 2008.

[niceypoo]

8. Independents see him as weak and mushy

His poll numbers amongst independents has not changed, though it has dropped with Democrats. Independents do NOT like a weak president. You are delusional.

[robcon]

9. Think of independents as RINOs+DINOs

They like compromise.