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Nate Silver says that the odds of a divided government again in 2013 are 'going down.'

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onehandle Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jul-13-11 10:29 AM
Original message
Nate Silver says that the odds of a divided government again in 2013 are 'going down.'
'Odds we have a divided government again in 2013 going down. Even low-information voters will grasp this isn't working.'

http://twitter.com/#!/fivethirtyeight/status/90884682564116480

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OHdem10 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jul-13-11 10:56 AM
Response to Original message
1. What does Nate see as the result. NO DIVIDED GOVT.
Republicans in charge or Democrats in charge.

This means those Democrats on the Hill had better get
themselves out there proving they can govern. They
better get over being non-confrontational.
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onehandle Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jul-13-11 11:00 AM
Response to Reply #1
2. Since Democrats are more favorable right now in polls and there is much 'buyers remorse' as well...
I assume he means we have a better chance to retake the House.

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former9thward Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jul-13-11 11:05 AM
Response to Reply #2
3. Republicans are ahead in the generic House polls.
Edited on Wed Jul-13-11 11:05 AM by former9thward
I don't know what Silver's position is but I would not assume he thinks there is a better chance to take the House. http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/mood_of_america/generic_congressional_ballot
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Robbins Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jul-13-11 12:40 PM
Response to Reply #3
5. UM
You need to list a better source than RAS.They should not be taken seriously.
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former9thward Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jul-13-11 12:57 PM
Response to Reply #5
7. A quote from Silver since he is referenced in the OP
"Rasmussen's election polling has tended to be quite accurate in the past." http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2010/01/is-rasmussen-reports-biased.html
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Tarheel_Dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jul-13-11 12:44 PM
Response to Reply #3
6. Rasmussen?
:rofl:
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former9thward Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jul-13-11 12:58 PM
Response to Reply #6
8. I assume you have another poll.
Or do you only look at polls that show results you like? :rofl:
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Tarheel_Dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jul-13-11 01:30 PM
Response to Reply #8
9. Obviously Nate Silver does, since you pulled Razz out of your azz.
:rofl:

Fox News' favorite & most celebrated pollster? :rofl:
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former9thward Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jul-13-11 01:45 PM
Response to Reply #9
11. A quote from Nate Silver:
"Rasmussen's election polling has tended to be quite accurate in the past." http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2010/01/is-rasmussen-reports-biased.html :rofl:
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Tarheel_Dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jul-13-11 02:51 PM
Response to Reply #11
12. Nate made the claim in the o.p., so your argument is with him.
Perhaps you could ask Nate why he came to the aforementioned conclusion that you seem to be having trouble dealing with? :rofl:
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former9thward Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jul-13-11 03:01 PM
Response to Reply #12
14. No he didn't make the claim. That is the point if you even read it.
It was the OP making an ASSUMPTION about Silver. So skippy where is your poll?
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Tarheel_Dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jul-13-11 03:05 PM
Response to Reply #14
15. "Odds are going down"? per Nate Silver....
The odds that you & Razz are correct are also "going down". Deal with it! :rofl:
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former9thward Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jul-13-11 03:25 PM
Response to Reply #15
16. You really can't read posts, can you?
Silver made NO claim about the House. The OP made an assumption that Silver must think the House is in play because the odds are going down on a divided government. Silver may be assuming Republican control. I don't know but I'm not making an assumption like you and the OP have. I gave the latest poll I have seen on a generic House vote. Again, skippy, where is your poll to back up YOUR assumption? :rofl:
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Jack Rabbit Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jul-13-11 12:24 PM
Response to Original message
4. I hate Twitter
That's a nice headline. Now where's the story behind it?
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kick-ass-bob Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jul-13-11 01:42 PM
Response to Reply #4
10. I want it to shrivel up and die. #DieTwitter
:D
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Major Hogwash Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jul-13-11 02:53 PM
Response to Original message
13. He must be living in a different world than I. Them low info voters don't care!!
Edited on Wed Jul-13-11 02:53 PM by Major Hogwash
Maybe he ought to get off of the Twitter and go out and see how they live, how they think, how they breed amongst themselves at family reunions.
That'll change his opinion, I'm sure.
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