POTUS got 247 in the bag

[angee_is_mad]

Anyone who is a supporter of the president and support has re-election her is some good information. Haven't been on here for a while cause you know, just because. So if this is a dup accept my apologies. So much doom & gloom out there wanted to bring some sunshine in.
h/t to brwnizofmine on twitter for the link.Please click link was forced to edit this to fit DU standards.

http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/obama-at-majority-disapproval-re-election-likely/?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+OTB+%28Outside+The+Beltway+|+OTB%29

Meanwhile, the Republicans have their own firewall. Almost any sentient GOP nominee will carry Alabama (9), Alaska (3), Arkansas (6), Idaho (4), Kansas (6), Kentucky (8), Louisiana (8), Mississippi (6), Montana (3), Nebraska (5), North Dakota (3), Oklahoma (7), South Carolina (9), South Dakota (3), Tennessee (11), Utah (6), West Virginia (5) and Wyoming (3). These 18 states have 105 electoral votes.


Republicans therefore are a lock or lead in 24 states for 206 electoral votes, and Democrats have or lead in 19 states for 247 electoral votes.
That’s why seven super-swing states with 85 electors will determine which party gets to the magic number of 270 electoral votes: Colorado (9), Florida (29), Iowa (6), Nevada (6), New Hampshire (4), Ohio (18) and Virginia (13).]

[Peacetrain]

1. That was just what I needed K&R

You brought a little sunshine into the old gloomy and doomy

[angee_is_mad]

3. With all these daily polls and naysayer pundits

I was about to lose my dayum mind.

This link was definitely welcome and thanks for the recommend.

[DCBob]

2. no doubt the electoral vote favors Obama.

Only a total economic collapse could change this dynamic.

[angee_is_mad]

4. that's why his supporters

need to continue to support him and every other dem on the ticket. The
man needs a congress that WANT to work with him and not against him. That's how a liberal agenda will get past.
We also need to start grooming credible candidates to replace some of these bluedogs who will hold bills hostage in order not to lose the conservative vote.

[Name removed]

5. Deleted message

Message removed by moderator. Click here to review the message board rules.

[Jim Lane]

11. If by "Firebaggers" you mean progressives who've criticized Obama's conservatism, then you're wrong.

I can denounce Obama for caving so often to the GOP and still hope that he gets re-elected. That's perfectly consistent.

You might change "Firebaggers" to "Naderites" -- there's always been a strain in the Nader campaigns of wanting to punish the Democrats, i.e., hoping the Republican would win on the (ridiculous) theory that the Democratic Party would respond by moving to the left.

[Glimmer of Hope]

6. Do you think the swing states favor Mittens or Good Hair?

[angee_is_mad]

7. ummm

Virginia for romney but Kaine will be on ballots so he maybe able help to keep independents and mods repubs for Obama.Iowa for perry. The rest don't know.

[On the Road]

8. Social Security and Medicare Will be Huge in Florida

Obama has to play the issue correctly so that Republicans get the political blame for attempts to cut those programs.

According to your numbers, Obama could lose all the other swing states as long as he gets Florida.

[comtec]

12. like it was in 2000?

[rug]

9. Glad that's out of the way. Now we can discuss policy for the next 14 months.

[Top Cat]

10. K&R

[dsc]

13. The last paragraph is a very optimistic view of what Sabato is saying

He has 196 in the bag with 51 others that he should win but may not. That isn't 247 in the bag. In 2010 all four of New Mexico, Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania voted in GOP governors and all but New Mexico voted in GOP legislatures as well. I surely wouldn't be counting these as sure things. I do think we are favored in them but sure things they ain't.

[quaker bill]

14. After 2 years of Rick Scott (t)

Florida will not be all that tough.

[angee_is_mad]

15. lol, from your lips 2 God's ears

but Florida has always been kinda funky around election time. No offense Floridians.
My money is on Nevada, NH and Va.

[joshcryer]

16. Colorado won't go red again, so he has Colorado in the bag.

[LatteLibertine]

17. This makes me feel better

The idea of being ruled by the Koch brothers through Perry and the GOP is a grim prospect.

Let's hope they don't devise a way to steal it.

[BluegrassDem]

18. I truly believe Obama will win Virginia and North Carolina

I believe those states might be somewhat easier than say Ohio. The demographics in those states is tailor made for Obama and it's getting bluer everyday. Their populations are growing and mostly from Hispanics and northerners. And the Obama campaign will play hard for both of those states. They're going to be there until election day. I think Indiana is probably too tough to even bother with.

[angee_is_mad]

25. I think so 2

and I'm not just saying cause I'm from NC:fistbump: :fistbump:

[Enrique]

19. too early to be counting electoral votes

we don't even know who the GOP candidate is, for example.

[n2doc]

20. If he is wise he will not count on OH and FL

We've been there before.

[treestar]

21. So much for R crap about re-districting

In their hope that as a minority, they could rule the nation.

[WI_DEM]

22. Michigan will go to Obama thanks to saving the auto industry...

The key states where the campaign will concentrate are:

Pennsylvania
Ohio
Florida
North Carolina
Virginia
Wisconsin

If the President wins his firewall states plus two of these states he will be re-elected.

[yodermon]

23. Election Fraud and Voter ID laws. n/t

[Yavin4]

24. I Don't See Rick Perry Doing Well In Those 7 Swing States

OH is going Dem thanks to Kasich, and Rick Scott makes life difficult for any Republican in that state.