Quinnipiac poll: President Obama makes positive gains in Virginia

[ProSense]

October 11, 2011 - Cain, Romney Top Pack In Virginia GOP Race, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Both Tie Obama As Perry Fades

<...>

In 2012 general election matchups among all Virginia voters:

• President Obama gets 44 percent to Romney's 45 percent;
  
• Obama gets 45 percent to Cain's 43 percent;
  
• Obama leads Perry 47 - 42 percent.

Obama and his GOP opponents do equally well among their own party members, but independent voters go to Romney 48 - 39 percent over Obama and back Cain 45 - 39 percent over the president. Obama gets 44 percent of independent voters to Perry's 43 percent.

There is a gender gap in each race. Women back Obama:

• 47 - 41 percent over Romney;
  
• 48 - 37 percent over Cain:
  
• 49 - 37 percent over Perry. Virginia men go Republican against the president:
  
• 50 - 41 percent for Romney;
  
• 50 - 42 percent for Cain;
  
• 47 percent for Perry to 45 percent for Obama.

"The good news for President Barack Obama in Virginia is that he isn't losing match-ups against any of the three leading Republican candidates," said Brown. "The bad news for him is that he is viewed unfavorably by 49 percent of Virginians and favorably by only 45 percent. Moreover, Virginia voters say 51 - 44 percent that Obama does not deserve re-election.

<...>

The President's numbers have climbed since last month.

September 15 poll

12. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?

Overall 40 - 54
Dem 83 - 13
Ind 29 - 62
Women 43 -49
Blk 83 - 11

15. Looking ahead to the 2012 election for President... Do you feel that Barack Obama deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?

Overall 41 - 51
Dem 85 - 8
Ind 34 - 57
Women 44 -47
Blk 88 - 10

October 11 poll

17. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?

Overall 45 - 52
Dem 86 - 11
Ind 38 - 56
Women 50 -47
Blk 88 - 9

20. Do you feel that Barack Obama deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?

Overall 44 - 51
Dem 86 - 10
Ind 39 - 53
Women 49 -46
Blk 91 - 6

[ProSense]

1. No comment? n/t

[GSLevel9]

4. after 30 years in the Commonwealth....

there's 0% chance of Obama carrying VA in '12...

South of Alexandria VA is BLOOD RED minus a few districts in Richmond...

[ProSense]

5. Well

"after 30 years in the Commonwealth.... there's 0% chance of Obama carrying VA in '12..."

...it's possible that you could be wrong. Who's your candidate? Since you're making predictions, who do you think will win?

[bornskeptic]

6. A few districts in Richmond? In 2008 he got 79% of the vote in Richmond,

71% in Norfolk, 69% in hampton Roads, 64% in Newport News, and lost Virginia Beach by less than 1%.

[ClarkUSA]

2. These numbers should keep improving once Pres. Obama campaigns in earnest v. the GOP nominee.

Right now, there is no there there to Romney, Perry, etc. beyond what voters are projecting onto them. Just wait until Team Obama gets through defining them.

[Sheepshank]

3. Exactly....right now is all too generic.

The public knows all of Obama's good and bad....they still generally know very little about the specific platforms of those Presidential hopefuls.

[WI_DEM]

7. Good news there was similar good news out of NC a week or so ago

if Obama wins both NC and VA he wins re-election imo.

[flamingdem]

8. This is a good trend

yaay