RUTGERS-EAGLETON POLL FINDS OBAMA REBOUNDS IN NEW JERSEY; VOTERS HAPPY CHRISTIE IS NOT RUNNING (PDF)
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Obama re-elect returns to positive territory
Obama has seen a significant turnaround in his New Jersey favorability ratings since August, when more voters wanted to deny a second term than thought he deserved it. Half of voters now feel favorable toward the president, while 41 percent are unfavorable. Independent voters remain one of the keys to shifts in support. In August independents were very negative, with 49 percent unfavorable and 36 percent favorable. Independents are still slightly negative, but only by 47 percent to 41 percent. Democrats’ favorability also has increased, from 76 percent in August to 83 percent.
Voters are also more positive about the president’s job performance than they were in August: 38 percent give him an A or B grade, compared to only 33 percent in the summer. Meanwhile, 31 percent now give him a D or F, down from 37 percent.
As a result, by 50 percent to 42 percent, voters are more likely to say Obama deserves a second term. This compares to only 43 percent for re-election with 47 percent opposed two months ago. Democrats’ support for re-election has increased 5 percent since August to 85 percent. Independents also have become slightly more positive; 50 percent oppose a second term, a drop of 5 points. Thirty-eight percent now say he deserves a second term, compared to 33 percent in August.
“What Obama has going for him in New Jersey is simply that it is still a Democratic state when it comes to voting at the national level,” said Redlawsk. “We also see some evidence that both Democrats and many independents are happier with Obama now as he more frequently defends his positions and blames Republicans for the gridlock in Washington.”
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On grade A,B:
Democrats - 65%
Liberals - 63%
Not employed - 41%
White - 30%
Black - 73%
Hispanic - 52%
On re-election:
Democrats - 85%
Liberals - 84%
Not employed - 53%
White - 40%
Black - 95%
Hispanic - 55%
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