I don't know enough about this to be sure what is being said is correct but it certainly sounds plausible to me.
I'm sure there are people on DU who know more than I do, I'd be interested in what you think.
http://www.balloon-juice.com/2011/05/23/tornado-strikes/#comment-2599603Weather is a chaotic system. Climate is a gauge of the energy in that system. Climate can be tracked in a broad, general sense. Weather cannot- it is chaotic, meaning it follows the mathematical rules of chaos as first discovered by Lorenz with (surprise!) a toy weather modeling equation.
Chaos works like this: if you have very little energy, things are stable. As the energy in the system increases, the range of possible states expands. At some points, the system can fall into predictable chaotic patterns: in weather, this would be knowing the general force of storms and cyclones, having a basic idea of how big these things are.
As the energy increases, the range of possible states continues to expand, and what you used to know about ‘how big tornadoes are’ stops being useful.
I’ll repeat that: as the energy increases (as the climate imperceptibly creeps upward in temperature), you stop being able to predict how big things like storms and cyclones will be.<snip>
http://www.balloon-juice.com/2011/05/23/tornado-strikes/#comment-2599607For anyone who can’t read long posts, here’s your take-away:
Next year’s tornado will be worse.
Bet your life on it. It’s not up for debate. If this one was bad, next year’s will be worse. The year after- worse still.
Within fifty years, we will lose an entire state to this. Either tornado alley or hurricane central. Get out.