There has been a quick and concerted effort on the part of Democrats to paint House Speaker John Boehner's final debt ceiling proposal as insufficient to avoid the possibility of a downgrade of the United States' AAA rating.
When CNN's Erin Burnett reported Monday evening that the raters at Standard & Poor's would not be satisfied with a plan that neither lifted the debt ceiling through the 2012 elections nor reformed entitlement programs, party leadership jumped on the news.
If the sequence seemed a touch too political, it shouldn't have. Even before Boehner (R-Ohio) offered his plan, which would force $1.2 trillion in cuts over 10 years while creating a powerful congressional commission to find $1.8 trillion more, Wall Street was warning that a short-term increase in the debt ceiling would be insufficient.
A July 22, 2011 report by Bank of America Merrill Lynch, passed to The Huffington Post by a Wall Street source, outlined the economic fallout of a resolution to the debt ceiling crisis along the lines of what Boehner is crafting. Their forecast was far from reassuring. The report reads:
Our base case view is that the debt ceiling will be lifted around August 2. The resolution will involve a short-term extension and a provision for a commission to draft out a longer-term fiscal plan. However, this creates the risk of no follow-through on the tough decisions in an election year and should keep fiscal risk alive in the markets.
http://www.wallstreetsurvivor.com/CS/forums/t/44754.aspx