Okay, let me first point out that I like Talking Points Memo.
But it seems they're not immune to the spin that the 'traditional' media puts out.
I saw an article which states that Obama is beating all of his would-be Republican contenders badly.
The article also says (emphasis mine):
Christie is in his first term at New Jersey's helm, and his brash governing style and populist rhetoric have led some to wonder whether he would be a strong, fresh candidate for the GOP to run behind in 2012. Yet Christie has declared that he will not seek the party's presidential nomination, and though he remains popular in his home state--48% of respondents said they approved of his job performance, versus 45% who said they disapproved--the poll indicates that his constituents aren't ready to give him control of the federal government.
Uh, he's below 50%. And almost as many people disapprove of his performance as approve.
http://tpmdc.talkingpointsmemo.com/2011/01/ppp-poll-obama-cruising-toward-huge-2012-win-in-nj.php