Poll Shows Democrat Trailing in New York Race

[William769]

David Weprin, the New York state assemblymember vying to replace ex-congressman Anthony Weiner, may be trailing his Republican opponent Bob Turner by six points in a new poll, but the Democrat’s vote for marriage equality does not appear to be a significant factor.

According to the Siena College Research Institute poll released Friday, Turner leads Weprin by 50% to 44% among likely voters in the 9th Congressional district covering Brooklyn and Queens. Last month, Weprin led Turner by 48% to 42% in the heavily Democratic district where voters will head to the polls this Tuesday for the special election.

Turner, a retired cable television executive who challenged Weiner last year, appears to have gained ground by linking Weprin to economic woes and the leadership of President Barack Obama. The national parties have begun to show elevated interest in the tightening race, which some analysts view as a bellwether contest with the potential for a Republican upset not unlike Scott Brown's victory over Martha Coakley for a Massachusetts senate seat last year. Weiner abruptly resigned in June following a scandal involving racy photos on Twitter.

While some Orthodox Jewish leaders in the district have criticized Weprin, himself an Orthodox Jew, for his vote in support of the new marriage equality law, and the National Organization for Marriage announced it would spend $75,000 to help defeat Weprin over his support, most voters appear to be concerned about issues, according to the new poll.

http://www.advocate.com/News/Daily_News/2011/09/09/Poll_Shows_Democrat_Trailing_in_New_York_Race/

[RoccoR5955]

1. It seems a little early to give this poll any validity.

Besides, it's awfully close to the margin of error. Not to mention, that district could go the way of the dodo, with the upcoming redistricting.

[William769]

2. I think the poll numbers are telling.

People are voicing what they are concerned about & people running should pay attention to what is being said.

[former9thward]

7. Too early? The election is four days from now.

[RoccoR5955]

28. My Bad... Thought it was in November. n/t

[KamaAina]

3. I hope those of you who called for Weiner's head on a platter are satisfied.

There seems to be no such thing as a safe Dem seat anywhere at this point. :scared:

[krabigirl]

4. I agree.

[William769]

5. I miss Weiner.

:-(

[razorman]

36. Oh, my gosh. Did you just say that?

Kidding. Seriously, though, I know what you mean. But, let's face it. The fact that we like and may agree with him on most things does not mean that his behavior should be excused. It's too bad things turned out this way. Meanwhile, let's hope for the best in the coming election.

[Bumblebee]

6. Especially if you nominate a terrible candidate! The NY Dems are at fault

in this one.

[KamaAina]

11. It really shouldn't matter that much.

Much of the 9th CD is in Brooklyn. Not even Rudy Giuliani (R-9/11) could carry Brooklyn.

[Bumblebee]

12. Yes, but the Dem is not even liberal enough for many of the voters

and being an Orthodox Jewish candidate in Brooklyn is not the same as being, like Weiner, a largely secular Jewish candidate. It was very unwise to nominate him.

[William769]

13. It was unwise to force Weiner's resignation. NT

[TheWraith]

33. You have that backwards.

The district itself is not particularly liberal, which is why the Republican is viable here.

[hifiguy]

8. +100

The attacks of the vapors and laughable pearl-clutching during that episode was the single most nauseating thing I have seen at DU in the six-plus years I have been here. And that includes the '08 primary wars. :puke:

[muffin1]

19. I'm so glad I was taking a "DU break" during that "scandal". I heard it was bad.

[pintobean]

14. Why would we be satisfied?

The sleazeball resigned. Now, as the argument went, the voters in his district can decide. I find no satisfaction in it changing parties, but I'm not blame - Weiner is.

[KamaAina]

16. I see you have a union avatar

Weiner may indeed be a sleazeball, but at least he supported things like the EFCA. Turner may be completely above reproach (or, for all we know, may have a cache of pictures of himself with various farm animals on his laptop) -- but he'll be another vote for the union busters.

[pintobean]

20. Again, I blame Weiner.

Why is that so hard to understand?

[muffin1]

17. Indeed. Another strong Progressive voice is lost because of pearl-clutchers

and weak-ass Democrats. :puke:

[kctim]

22. And lying.

[muffin1]

23. Ooohhh...LYING!

*Faints* One almost NEVER hears of a politician lying. :eyes:

I suppose you wanted Clinton impeached?

[La Lioness Priyanka]

25. and ofcourse we don't like either. no one ever lies to their spouse

etc. people are such hypocrites

[kctim]

29. What can I say

I'm ex military and personal integrity is important to me. Oh, and having integrity also means I don't have to play games and look like a hypocrite by picking and choosing who can lie and when it's ok to lie or not.

[William769]

30. Where do I even begin with the military, it's leaders or Some of their commander in chief's.

:rofl:

[kctim]

32. You could begin by not judging the whole

based on the actions of the few. If you are not willing to do that, then you can begin on a short pier for all I care.

[William769]

34. Ditto.

[La Lioness Priyanka]

31. lol.

[pintobean]

26. I had no idea Weiner wore pearls

but I don't think he was a weak-ass Democrat.

[La Lioness Priyanka]

24. seconded.

[Enthusiast]

35. Vitter is still in office.

[Pryderi]

9. If we lose, GOP and pundits will have a field day. Us losing this is like GOP losing NY26

[Broderick]

10. Everyone in that district needs to get out there and get people to

the polls. These stupid surveys can always be wrong, and don't let it get you down. Energizing the community to do what is right is necessary. Give rides, offer to get people there to vote. There isn't much time left. I wish I could be up there shaking the trees.

[tcaudilllg]

15. It's just a flip

Dem out, Repub in. Next year it'll be Repub out, Dem in.

[KamaAina]

18. But it's in NYC

Seriously, no place is safe anymore. NOLA even flipped briefly a couple of years ago!

[KharmaTrain]

21. Massive Anti-Obama Efforts In The Jewish/Likudnik Community...

I've gotten a rash of emails from Jewish friends claiming that President Obama is in favor of recognizing Palestinian statehood, the "he's a muslim and hates Jews" and that he's never visted Israel. My bets are there's a lot of whispering going on within the Orthodox communities that may be hurting Werpin. Hopefully that poll is an outlier...

[Dawson Leery]

27. Cannot be doubted. Religious conservatives are the same.

[Nye Bevan]

37. I never called for Weiner to resign.

Wait for the election and let the voters decide if they want a Representative who tweets his erect penis.