“If he runs, he will be a cannonball that completely reshapes the race,” said Republican strategist Mark McKinnon, who advised former President George W. Bush. Christie “will be frontrunner overnight.”
Still, it’s a candidacy that could peak after the first day. Christie’s positions on issues such as illegal immigrants, civil unions for same-sex couples and gun-owners’ rights could offend important members of the Republican coalition -- including evangelicals and the gun lobby. Christie himself has said he doesn’t feel prepared to seek the presidency, and the financial and organizational challenges posed by a late entry could be formidable enough to stop him.
‘McCain-ish’ Figure
“It’s one thing being a prospective candidate, and it’s another being in the arena,” said Republican strategist Alex Castellanos. “For Christie, the first look, he’ll be very attractive, but then once things settle down, there’s a lot of Republicans who will not be comfortable with him.”
“There’s room for a truth-teller in the Republican field right now -- a McCain-ish kind of a figure,” Castellanos said. “But those candidates always have a tough time once they actually become candidates.”
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-10-03/christie-would-cannonball-republican-contest-with-formidable-obstacles.html