Nov. 3 (Bloomberg) -- European leaders for the first time raised the prospect of the euro area splintering, choosing to treat Greece's December referendum on the terms of a bailout package as an in-or-out vote on the debt-stricken nation's future in the currency union.
The hardball tactics open the door for a nation to leave the currency bloc that at its setup in 1999 capped Europe's progression from war to prosperity and was declared "irrevocable" by its founding fathers. Polls show most Greeks object to the austerity required for aid, yet more than seven in 10 favor remaining in the euro, a survey last week of 1,009 people published in To Vima newspaper showed.
While leaving the euro would allow Greece to regain control of exchange and interest rates, a September report by economists at UBS AG said its new currency would drop 60 percent, and local borrowing costs would jump at least 7 percentage points, imperiling the balance sheets of banks and companies.
Departure from the European Union would cause trade to fall by half even with devaluation. The cost would be as much as 11,500 euros a person in the first year outside the euro and 4,000 euros in following years, according to UBS.
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