Stinky predicts: Rahm will be the next Mayor of Chicago

[Stinky The Clown]

That's not what I prefer. It is what I predict.

On edit: One letter changes the very meaning. I intended to write "That's not what I prefer." Erroneously, I wrote "That's now what I prefer."

[meegbear]

1. Vote early and vote often!

[tularetom]

2. OK you predict it

But why do you prefer it?

[Stinky The Clown]

6. Wow, did I screw that up.

I intended to write "not", but what I wrote was "now." I just edited it.

I do NOT prefer it.

[somone]

3. The outcome is preordained

but they have to go through the motions

[closeupready]

4. If Chicagoans are fine with it, I'm fine with it. I don't have to live there.

:D

[sufrommich]

5. Considering that he's polling at 44% right now, I'd say that's

a given.

[immoderate]

7. Mosly-Braun impressed me when she ran for POTUS.

I would vote for her.

In a related story, Justice has arrested 100 mafiosi in a attempt to convince us they know organized crime when they see it.


--imm

[frazzled]

8. I've come to the conclusion ...

That compared to the other ones, he doesn't sound that bad.

Let's rule out Carol Mosley Braun right away, just on previous scandals and her recent contretemps regarding the Clinton visit. She's just not viable. Miguel del Valle seems like a nice guy, but I saw him in a recent mayoral debate and he literally shrank into the wall. The city clerk is unlikely to lead this major city.

That leaves Gery Chico. He's good looking and slick. Mayor Daley's former sidekick. But what I heard come out of his mouth at the debate I watched sounded like it was written by Republicans. And is it any wonder: "Mr. Chico has represented some of Chicago's largest and most well-known companies before legislative and administrative bodies, government regulators and other government agencies in the areas of land use and zoning, tax and finance, and government purchasing and contracting. In the past 12 years, he has sought and received approvals for many of the best-known real estate developments in Chicago." Developers in Chicago. Okay. That is one of my big bugaboos.

I was still undecided, but the last debate, together with this audacious ruling, has actually pushed me into the Emanuel camp. Funny how that works.

[murielm99]

9. My daughter, who does live there, keeps telling me that

Rahm does not have the support of the black community. And there are a lot of black Democrats. She keeps a good eye on politics and is involved as much as possible for her situation. Her bosses are all good Democrats and lawyers. They are active supporters of the Democratic party and they know what is going on. They are saying this, too.

He may end up governing a divided city if he does not make some concessions. Don't ask me why she and her knowledgeable bosses are saying this. I have no idea.

[sufrommich]

12. Both Emanuel and Braun have picked up votes in the

black community.

http://articles.chicagotribune.com/2011-01-20/news/ct-met-chicago-mayor-race-0121mdv-20110120_1_wgn-poll-braun-black-voters

[frazzled]

13. Your daughter isn't entirely right, according to the polls

From a poll a few days ago:

Rahm Emanuel is closing in on the majority he needs to end the mayor's race next month and avoid a one-on-one runoff, a new Tribune/WGN poll shows.

The former White House chief of staff had the support of 44 percent of those surveyed. Emanuel enjoys a wide lead among women and white voters and has substantial support among African-American and Latino voters.

Former U.S. Sen. Carol Moseley Braun and onetime Chicago Board of Education President Gery Chico are battling for second place in hopes of advancing to an April runoff. But they also must stop Emanuel from getting more than 50 percent and winning outright on Feb. 22.


Braun had 21 percent support and Chico 16 percent, with City Clerk Miguel del Valle at 7 percent and 9 percent undecided. The poll of 708 likely registered voters was conducted Saturday through Wednesday and has an error margin of 3.7 percentage points.

Emanuel, Braun and Chico each have gained since the last Tribune poll five weeks ago, benefiting as the field of mayoral contenders narrowed and more voters made up their minds. Two prominent African-American candidates, state Sen. James Meeks and U.S. Rep. Danny Davis, bowed out and endorsed Braun as the "consensus" black candidate.

Braun polled at 6 percent last month but made major inroads among African-American voters. Emanuel was at 32 percent in the previous poll, but he, too, gained black voters. Chico was at 9 percent in the December survey and has picked up white and Latino support since then.

http://articles.chicagotribune.com/2011-01-20/news/ct-met-chicago-mayor-race-0121mdv-20110120_1_wgn-poll-braun-black-voters

Braun definitely picked up support, largely because the other two African American candidates dropped out and got behind her. But this was before her "oh no you di'nt" moment throwing Monica Lewinsky in Bill Clinton's face when he visited here. Emanuel's lead can't be gotten on the white vote alone in Chicago. There simply isn't enough of it. You have got to win a portion of the black vote here to win. Conversely, Braun would have to win a significant portion of the white vote here to win. I'm leaving out the Latino support. It's really all over the place in this city. People don't vote exclusively within their own racial boundaries.

[Octafish]

10. Whaddya bet he ends up the richest guy in Chicago by the time he's done?

Just kidding. Love ya, Rahm.

[Canuckistanian]

11. Ballots are being printed today. Rahm's name is on them.

Just heard on Thom Hartmann's show.

[orleans]

14. lol--now, not, whatever!

hope you're wrong.
fear you might be right.