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So, if repukes defeat Dream Act, do you think they will lose the Hispanic vote for a lifetime?

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Hawaii Hiker Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Dec-18-10 09:19 AM
Original message
So, if repukes defeat Dream Act, do you think they will lose the Hispanic vote for a lifetime?
I think they absolutely will...States like NM, NV, and CO will, perhaps not turn CA or NY blue, but they'll go from toss-up to "lean Democrat" states in future elections...

I cannot see how Democrats don't get margins of 75-25%+ w/Hispanic voters if the pukes defeat the Dream Act today.

Agree?

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ladjf Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Dec-18-10 09:22 AM
Response to Original message
1. Theoretically, you are right. But, somehow, the 2010 election seemed
to have defied all political logic. I'm beginning to wonder if perhaps the rigged voting machines might be trumping all other political influences.
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LiberalLoner Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Dec-18-10 09:22 AM
Response to Reply #1
2. Ding ding ding ding "We have a winner!" n/t k&r
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ladjf Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Dec-18-10 09:53 AM
Response to Reply #2
9. As a computer programmer for 20 years, I can tell you with
certainty that programming a vote counter to cheat is child's play for any professional Not only can the tally be rigged but all traces of the illegal activity can be removed easily.

I've wondered why this isn't a greater public issue among politicians. I can only speculate that politicians on both sides are aware of the potentials for cheating but may believe that their programmer is better than the one on the other side.
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RKP5637 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Dec-18-10 09:25 AM
Response to Reply #1
4. Makes sense to me. Politicians are also window dressing for the "real" wealth
and power running this country behind the scenes. Politicians are there to appease the masses.

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ladjf Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Dec-18-10 09:53 AM
Response to Reply #4
10. You are on the right track. Stay after it. nt
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Hawaii Hiker Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Dec-18-10 09:26 AM
Response to Reply #1
5. Yes, but strong support from the Hispanic community in 2010 elections helped
Buck, Brown, Boxer, and absolutely/positively enabled Reid to beat Angle...

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ladjf Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Dec-18-10 09:54 AM
Response to Reply #5
11. You are correct. But, the margins should have been larger. nt
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EFerrari Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Dec-18-10 09:59 AM
Response to Reply #1
14. I read that Laino voters decided more than one contest for Democrats.
But I bet you're right that these voters are preyed upon by the riggers.
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blondeatlast Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Dec-18-10 02:27 PM
Response to Reply #14
34. The rigging isn't all technical, either. Voter ID laws and deliberate
tactics by the likes of Sherriff Joe Arpaio (stationing armed deputies at largely Hispanic/Latino precincts, for instance) and shortchanging the same precincts of voting booths and poll workers is SOP here in Phoenix.
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EFerrari Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Dec-18-10 02:42 PM
Response to Reply #34
36. There you have it!
:hi:
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dkf Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Dec-18-10 10:06 AM
Response to Reply #1
17. Maybe if the polls had said we should expect the opposite we could pin it on the machines.
But we kind of knew what to expect.
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ladjf Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Dec-18-10 11:58 AM
Response to Reply #17
25. "Rigging" is an equal opportunity scam. It can, and probably does,
go in multi-directions but not necessarily with the same weights on all sides. nt
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Upton Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Dec-18-10 10:31 AM
Response to Reply #1
20. How did it defy all political logic?
Traditionally, the current president's party loses seats in the midterms.
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ladjf Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Dec-18-10 12:00 PM
Response to Reply #20
26. I was basing the use of the words "all logic" on the premise of the
Edited on Sat Dec-18-10 12:02 PM by ladjf
initial OP which was that in light of the destructive acts by the Republicans, it would seem that the Democrats should have "won" the battles in 2010.

You are correct that conventional wisdom is that the incumbant Party loses votes. However, "conventional wisdom" is often wrong.
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galileoreloaded Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Dec-18-10 09:25 AM
Response to Original message
3. No. Legal hispanics and other immigrants are almost violent in their...
disdain for illegal immigration.

Ask a legal first or second generation immigrant what they think. The answer will shock and surprise.
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lonestarnot Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Dec-18-10 09:48 AM
Response to Reply #3
7. Fistacuffs at a protest I went to over this very thing. People that are schitz over their own race.
The 2nd generations hate the new folks coming here. Nuttier than shithouse rats.
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proud2BlibKansan Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Dec-18-10 09:59 AM
Response to Reply #7
15. That's not the case here
We have huge crowds at Dream Act rallies and lots of support from second and third generation immigrants.
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lonestarnot Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Dec-18-10 10:09 AM
Response to Reply #15
18. I'm not saying it's true in every case, however, I see way to much of it here.
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proud2BlibKansan Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Dec-18-10 10:24 AM
Response to Reply #18
19. I'm sure you do
I would imagine the Hispanic voters there are likely to be more conservative than here.

Our local GOP has zero Hispanics. Or if they do, they hide them. :)
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Edweird Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Dec-18-10 09:55 AM
Response to Reply #3
12. This is true. I've seen it with my own eyes.
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EFerrari Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Dec-18-10 10:00 AM
Response to Reply #3
16. I don't agree with that. My mm and I are first and second gens.
We certainly don't feel that way.
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lonestarnot Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Dec-18-10 11:02 AM
Response to Reply #16
22. I don't know why you haven't seen it. Do you get out much?
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EFerrari Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Dec-18-10 11:08 AM
Response to Reply #22
23. I live in a hispanic community out here in East San Jose
Edited on Sat Dec-18-10 11:08 AM by EFerrari
and there are many, many people of all kinds of immigration status here. Lots of undocumented but that means, lots of mixed families. You might as well be in Guadalajara. Maybe it's different in other places but no one here seems to be down on people who don't have docs except the rednecks and a very few right wingnuts. Class plays a bigger role. Maybe people who feel that way don't live here.

How are you, lonestarnut? December treating you okay?

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lonestarnot Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Dec-18-10 02:46 PM
Response to Reply #23
37. You definitely got that right, they live over here. I have one right next door.
:puke:
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EFerrari Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Dec-18-10 02:52 PM
Response to Reply #37
39. Yikes.
Well, I have one in my family that I haven't talked to on purpose since 1983. Thank goodness, he went back to El Salvador and bought a resort. But he was always like that and at bottom, it isn't about immigration but about sneering at people with less than he has.

You'd love it here. It has problems like any place but there's neat sense of community. Before the Spanish came, we were mostly socialists around here, lol, so hanging in there together must be in our DNA or something. :)
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Xicano Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Dec-18-10 01:28 PM
Response to Reply #16
30. I agree with EFerrari in that I don't agree with that.
Edited on Sat Dec-18-10 01:42 PM by Xicano
I'm a Mexican born and raised in So-Cal and I myself certainly don't feel that way, but not just me. Every single last family member of mine, every single Mexican friend I grew up with, every single Mexican co-worker/friend I have all have the same exact point-of-view regarding this issue as I do.

I know most people who are not Mexican won't see this in the same perspective that we do, and, that's fine its understandable. But every fellow Mexican I know see's this issue as the newcomer telling people who've been here for thousands upon thousands of years that we are "aliens".

Like I said I can understand why most people who are not Mexican won't see that perspective in the same light as we do, and that's fine. But its a reality that's part of history nonetheless and as such most of the Mexican community don't feel the way some in this thread have pointed out. There are other reasons of course too, such as the feeling that the US should have a moral obligation to those across the border who have been displaced by our trade policies and our industries benefiting from their resources at their financial and environmental expense, etc.

But the point is, and for whatever the reason, every Mexican, Central and South American I know feels the same way. They don't agree with what some have pointed out here about their feelings toward immigration.


Peace,
Xicano






Examples of Mexican, Central American and South Americans who don't feel the way some have pointed out in this thread.











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EFerrari Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Dec-18-10 01:55 PM
Response to Reply #30
31. Those are great pictures!
:hi:
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Xicano Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Dec-18-10 02:00 PM
Response to Reply #31
33. Thanks EFerrari, always good to see you.
:hi:
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blondeatlast Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Dec-18-10 02:28 PM
Response to Reply #3
35. Apparently, we don't live in the same region of arizona. I find absolutely the opposite. nt
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treestar Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Dec-18-10 02:48 PM
Response to Reply #3
38. I don't agree
They may have been illegal at one time, and now are legal, and are still related to illegals or have friends.

Not true at all.
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DainBramaged Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Dec-18-10 09:44 AM
Response to Original message
6. Nothing trumps money
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pampango Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Dec-18-10 09:50 AM
Response to Original message
8. They probably fear that but they fear their base even more. Their base trumps the corporate wing
of the party in cases like this.
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Pisces Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Dec-18-10 09:58 AM
Response to Original message
13. They will continue to lose the hispanic vote due to their racist language
and bigotry of anyone with color. They don't understand that hispanics number 1 issues is family. When you talk about deporting their family or family members, or talk about these people as criminals, you have just made an enemy for life.

The republicans want to pass SB1020 legislation in other states, like Arizona. This is alienating the few hispanics left in the Repub. party.
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EFerrari Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Dec-18-10 11:10 AM
Response to Reply #13
24. That sounds right to me. n/t
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Posteritatis Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Dec-18-10 10:34 AM
Response to Original message
21. Voters often have short memories. (nt)
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RKP5637 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Dec-18-10 12:15 PM
Response to Reply #21
27. That's a good point and now it seems many can't even remember the Bush years and
want to repeat them they were just so great.
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spanone Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Dec-18-10 12:17 PM
Response to Original message
28. no, they and the media will claim it failed under a democratic congress and President
and they will convince the people that this is the truth
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ProgressiveProfessor Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Dec-18-10 12:56 PM
Response to Original message
29. I don't think so
The half life of the impact of any major vote is maybe four years. Also the DREAM act will not impact voting Hispanics. Finally Hispanics do not vote nearly as en bloc as to African Americans.
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EFerrari Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Dec-18-10 01:58 PM
Response to Reply #29
32. Of course it impacts voting Latinos. Families of mixed immigration status
are very, very common. And Latinos vote with Democrats for the same reason black people do, because the Republicans are overtly racist. There are exceptions but those usually have to do with class and with the now shrinking community of wingnut anti-Castro Cubans.
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ProgressiveProfessor Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Dec-18-10 04:24 PM
Response to Reply #32
41. In the southwest the Hispanic vote is far from monolithic
especially when compared to the black vote. Conservative Hispanics are much more than anti Castro Cubans. Many of the Hispanics I worked with in industry did not like it that newer immigrants did not have to go through the same effort that they did, an attitude I have found fairly pervasive. YMMV
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EFerrari Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Dec-18-10 07:40 PM
Response to Reply #41
44. My mileage sure does vary. There is nothing that I have seen
that shows Latinos discriminate against other Latinos on the basis of immigration status.
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ProgressiveProfessor Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Dec-19-10 01:26 AM
Response to Reply #44
46. Read some of the other posts here. My observations are not rare
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Robbins Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Dec-18-10 03:10 PM
Response to Original message
40. Hispanics
The NBC/Wall Street Journal has around 53 percent of Hispanics as one of Obama's base.Republicans will keep helping Democrats with
other Hispanic voters.

Don't forget In 2010 Both Reid and Bennet owe Hispanics to winning relection.

Hispanics are often more conservative on Social Issues like Abortion.Many are Catholic and have large familys.

Hispanics often vote Democrats on Issues like Education,Health Care,and Economy.

Democrats strength In California has been helped by antiImmigration Republicans.

Come 2012 Hispanics will be Important In Nevada,Colorado,New Mexico,Arizona(strong support from Hispanics could make this a
battleground state)Florida,and NC(Hispanics were part of the reason Obama Carried It In 2008)

The Dream act helps reminds them how antiHispanic Republicans have become despite the fact Republicans will push Rubio as spokesman.
Remember Bush was able to come close enough to steal the vote with 40 percent of Hispanic vote In 2000 and Bush would not have been
able to narrorly win In 2004 without 44 percent of Hispanic vote(allowing him to carry New Mexico and likely Nevada)
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EFerrari Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Dec-18-10 07:39 PM
Response to Reply #40
42. Check and recheck your numbers. The Latino vote
is consistently claimed by Republicans and consistently underestimated by the "mainstream" pollsters. I posted a thread about this that is probably in the archives. I'd give you the link but I don't have it any more. I believe it was posted to the Election Reform forum.

And, there is no evidence whatsoever that LATINOS vote their social values. That's just a rightwing talking point that I've yet to see supported by hard numbers.

Oh, and very few Latinos call themselves "Hispanics" because we aren't from Spain.
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underpants Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Dec-18-10 07:39 PM
Response to Original message
43. That is long gone
they are ruled by Fox News not the other way
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Bigmack Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Dec-18-10 07:46 PM
Response to Original message
45. I think we're missing one thing....
It's racist to imagine that all Hispanic people are sane and reasonable and will vote in their own interest. Look at the Log Cabin Repubs. Look at the poor whites who vote Repub. I'm sure there must be some anti-abortion black people who vote Repub.

I believe some people are fucked up regardless of race or creed or orientation.
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