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Paranoid thought - if a catastrophic Chernobyl type meltdown happened, is it possible

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quinnox Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Mar-12-11 10:55 AM
Original message
Paranoid thought - if a catastrophic Chernobyl type meltdown happened, is it possible
that Japan would keep it a secret? Is this possible. When Chernobyl happened, did the USSR at first say everything was under control and only later the extent of the catastrophe was known? I don't remember. Is there independent monitoring going on of radiation levels worldwide?

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Snoutport Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Mar-12-11 10:57 AM
Response to Original message
1. It will be hard to cover up Godzilla
Pardon, I joke, but wasn't the whole message of the Godzilla movies that something like this could happen?
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fascisthunter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Mar-12-11 11:04 AM
Response to Reply #1
9. yes
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randome Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Mar-12-11 12:04 PM
Response to Reply #1
23. Godzilla Was Thematically Important
You didn't take the shellacking some other poster took for mentioning Godzilla.

Think of the irony here.

Japan was the first civilization to feel the horror of nuclear energy. They imagined Godzilla to teach us -and themselves- about the follies of it. And now they've endangered themselves and perhaps parts of the rest of the world with...nuclear energy.
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no_hypocrisy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Mar-12-11 10:57 AM
Response to Original message
2. I considered that too.
And I have no basis upon which to calculate probabilities.
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Posteritatis Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Mar-12-11 10:59 AM
Response to Original message
3. The Soviets said everything was under control for maybe a day or so
Edited on Sat Mar-12-11 11:00 AM by Posteritatis
Then they gave up trying because it was that big. It was immediately obvious that it wasn't to a good chunk of the outside world, and it would be incomparably more difficult to hide it in Japan these days. If anything near the same league as Chernobyl happened there, every country on the planet with more than a couple of satellites in orbit would know immediately.

(Also, Japan has no real reason to try to hide such a thing, especially given the impossibility of doing so.)
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CLANG Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Mar-12-11 11:23 AM
Response to Reply #3
15. The Soviets didn't have a free press, which is the only reason they could lie for a few days.
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The Blue Flower Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Mar-12-11 11:00 AM
Response to Original message
4. Independent monitoring found it
I think it was the govt of Finland that first reported it. I think we can safely assume it's being monitored by others, including the IAEA.
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slackmaster Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Mar-12-11 11:00 AM
Response to Original message
5. It was perfectly in character for the USSR at the time to try to keep a lid on Chernobyl
Japan is not the old USSR. It would be impossible for them to conceal it anyway, and it would be inconsistent with Japan's normal conduct.
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LisaL Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Mar-12-11 11:01 AM
Response to Original message
6. If I recall correctly, USSR had said nothing about Chernobyl
for at least some days after it happened.
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Hannah Bell Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Mar-12-11 11:01 AM
Response to Original message
7. no. for the reason you mention, all gov'ts monitor radiation levels, as can/do
Edited on Sat Mar-12-11 11:02 AM by Hannah Bell
private orgs & individuals.

live monitoring of japanese media here, in english:

http://yokosonews.com/live

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Bluenorthwest Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Mar-12-11 11:54 AM
Response to Reply #7
22. An amazing link, Hannah. I could spend all day...
Thank you kindly.
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Dogmudgeon Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Mar-12-11 11:03 AM
Response to Original message
8. It's impossible to "hide" that kind of radiation
The USSR tried to hide Chernobyl, for all of about two days. What happened is that radiation detectors at hundreds of military sites and universities around the world began to trigger event alarms.

The technology can pick up even very small releases of radioactive material, that's how good it's gotten.

There has been a ton of rumor-mongering over this disaster, and it's not limited to nuclear issues; if I see one more search turn up with "HAARP/the Moon/the Face on Mars/the Pope wiping his patootie caused the Japanese Earthquake", I may just scream.

--d!
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somone Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Mar-12-11 11:12 AM
Response to Original message
10. The Japanese media is very focused on this right now
It'd be foolish for anyone to try and cover up.
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KittyWampus Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Mar-12-11 11:14 AM
Response to Reply #10
12. Oh, I think Japanese Bureaucrats can spin and obfuscate with the best of them.
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Posteritatis Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Mar-12-11 11:22 AM
Response to Reply #12
14. It is not physically possible to hide something like that. The laws of reality itself prevent it. nt
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KittyWampus Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Mar-12-11 11:24 AM
Response to Reply #14
16. You must forget the BPA Oil Spill.
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Posteritatis Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Mar-12-11 11:26 AM
Response to Reply #16
17. Completely unrelated circumstances.
If a Chernobyl happened in India, civilian equipment in Nebraska would swiftly detect it. You cannot hide this.
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KittyWampus Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Mar-12-11 11:14 AM
Response to Original message
11. About Chernobyl. Just last year there were PR flacks trying to say it wasn't that bad after all.
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dipsydoodle Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Mar-12-11 11:19 AM
Response to Original message
13. Does it matter ?
.
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Cleita Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Mar-12-11 11:26 AM
Response to Original message
18. They will try. They are already spinning and downplaying it. n/t
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Overseas Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Mar-12-11 11:28 AM
Response to Original message
19. It is possible that they would try to minimize the extent of the danger, but
some other countries will be monitoring and reporting the actual figures. Some countries still have more independent reporting than we do. They may share news that upsets multinational corporations.

But certainly, there will be many countries wanting to go along with minimizing the extent of the dangers. We all want to pretend that nuclear power is a more viable alternative than clunky solar panels or dorky windmills.

We in the USA don't want to zoom ahead with massive jobs programs to rebuild our infrastructure with conservation technologies integrated into it because THOSE WOULD INCLUDE TOO MANY GOVERNMENT JOBS and the safety of humanity is less important than being sure not to have to many of those damn government jobs. We gotta be bipartisan with The GOP Way.

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roamer65 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Mar-12-11 11:33 AM
Response to Original message
20. We'll know in a day ot two.
That's when independent monitoring will pick it up and ask the Japanese what the fuck is going on.
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subterranean Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Mar-12-11 11:41 AM
Response to Original message
21. The Japanese have covered up more minor nuclear accidents before.
But there's no way they'd be able to cover up a full-scale meltdown. I really, really hope it doesn't come to that.
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backscatter712 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Mar-12-11 12:09 PM
Response to Original message
24. If it's a full-fledged Chernobyl, radiation detectors around the world would start ringing.
Granted, this disaster is Bad, but it's not quite Chernobyl-Bad. At this point, I'd call it a couple steps above Three-Mile-Island - there's some radioactivity, but mostly as tritium, which will naturally decay and disperse.

It's still fucking horrible - we'll be seeing cancer-clusters and long-term effects from this.
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