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Japan Will Need to Rebuild - Who Will Fund Our Debt Now?

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Junkdrawer Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-13-11 08:32 AM
Original message
Japan Will Need to Rebuild - Who Will Fund Our Debt Now?
Here's a portion of a transcript taken from a speech by Larry Wilkerson covered by TheRealNews:


LAWRENCE WILKERSON, FMR. STATE DEPT. CHIEF OF STAFF TO COLIN POWELL: This country is the greatest debtor nation in human history now. This country has lived on Japanese largess for 35-plus years. Not the Chinese—that's the preposterous thoughts of the media. Only last year, fiscal year, did the Chinese even come close to the Japanese, and they haven't surpassed them yet, because let me tell you about another phenomenon in Japan that funds our debt: it's called Japanese housewives. Japanese housewives answer to no central banker, to no finance minister, to no central authority whatsoever, and they have US$14 trillion in assets. Talk about a sovereign wealth fund. Japanese housewives in the culture that they live in learned to use the Internet, learned to get smart about investments in the stockmarket in particular—and I'm talking globally, not just US, but principally the US—and made some really good investment decisions. They now sit on $14 trillion. So when you add that to the $670 billion or so of US debt that the Japanese bought last year, it surpasses the $802 billion the Chinese bought. So the Japanese, in exchange for a public good called "national security", which included a nuclear umbrella—and that meant they didn't have to spend more than 1 percent of their GDP on their military—the Japanese traded us the ability to spend beyond our means to astronomical levels. They gave Ronald Reagan the right to say that he could raise military spending as dramatically as Harry Truman did after NSC-68 in the Korean War pushed it up from about $13 billion to about $54 billion, which sounds little today, but it was a lot then. Ronald Reagan does it and lowers taxes. And they allowed Dick Cheney to say later—and I firmly believe Dick Cheney believes this—that you could lower taxes and raise military spending—that is, fight wars—at the same time with impunity.

...

http://therealnews.com/t2/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=31&Itemid=74&jumival=4376#



The damage Japan just suffered is jaw-dropping and it's not over by a long shot. Whole towns and cities will need to be rebuilt and large portions of their power generation infrastructure will also need to be rebuilt. The later will be hideously expensive.

If the Japanese debt is indeed held by private Japanese citizens, there well may be a 'run on the bank'. At the very least they won't be buying Treasury Bonds for a while. And that could mean that, to attract other buyers, the interest rate of US Treasuries may need to go up from zero. An zero interest Treasury rates has been fueling the 'recovery' (read the rise in the stock market.)

Aftershocks indeed.
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Scuba Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-13-11 08:36 AM
Response to Original message
1. I know, I know. ..
Anyone making LESS than $250,000 per year. The government can declare an emergency and consficate ALL their wage.
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Junkdrawer Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-13-11 08:40 AM
Response to Reply #1
2. Yeah, the middle class and the poor will be offered up to make further sacrifices....
Unless there's a HUGE push back, that's what will happen.

Betcha slashing Social Security and Medicare will be the talk of the town in the coming weeks.
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Statistical Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-13-11 08:47 AM
Response to Original message
3. Meh. The reality is Japan holds less than 6% of US federal debt.
2/3rds of that is held by corporations and governmental agencies.

The idea that middle class Japanese housewives are a major purchaser of US debt is a joke. That being said US needs to get deficits under control because current rate is simply not sustainable.
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Egnever Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-13-11 04:20 PM
Response to Reply #3
10. Thanks for the dose of reality in this woo thread
Edited on Sun Mar-13-11 04:20 PM by Egnever
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onehandle Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-13-11 08:52 AM
Response to Original message
4. Our stock market starts going South tomorrow and for the foreseeable future.
I called it last night. On Friday stocks rallied on the idea of building Japan, now we have two meltdowns.

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=433x627872

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Junkdrawer Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-13-11 08:58 AM
Response to Reply #4
6. If anyone has been investing heavily in stocks, now would be a good time...
to make an orderly move to the exits...

Not to brag, but I did OK predicting the bottom:

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=389&topic_id=4209607

now I'm saying we've seen the top.

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Lucky Luciano Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-13-11 09:08 AM
Response to Reply #4
8. ...and I am still happy to sell you that Monday after the close put on the DJIA
with a strike 500 down from Friday's close. Of course, my offer is conditional on you showing me a proper bid. I do think we have seen a top to the market independent of the earthquake though - but the DJIA dropping 500-1000 points on Monday? I don't think so - not even close.
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VioletLake Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-13-11 08:56 AM
Response to Original message
5. We can do it ourselves with a grassroots fund. nt
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Kolesar Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-13-11 09:08 AM
Response to Original message
7. All that reconstruction spending will create jobs & stimulate the economy...eom
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Junkdrawer Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-13-11 04:16 PM
Response to Original message
9. Kick
:kick:
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JVS Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-13-11 04:20 PM
Response to Original message
11. Japan already had a higher public debt to GDP ratio before the quake.
Their debt is about 180% of GDP ours is about 67% of GDP. So I guess that means USA USA USA! :party:
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Mimosa Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-13-11 04:22 PM
Response to Original message
12. WHOA! That's a damned good point.
I think Chinse citizens -in spite of the WWII history- will invest in rebuilding Japan for a couple of good reasons.
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