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Edited on Sat Mar-19-11 02:59 PM by kenny blankenship
No I don't think Obama wants US forces on the ground in Libya. I really do not.
I hope US pilots will overfly Libya and I hope they bomb the shit out of Gaddafi's "loyalist" mercenary forces, starting with Col. Moammer Muammer Muammar himself, or however the fuck he spells his name at the top of his cheques.
Yes, I believe that Gaddafi's consolidation of rule over western Libya and Benghazi will be, should it occur, marked by an extraordinary flow of blood, and would be followed up by many years of brutal repression, scarcely less violent. Genocide? It wouldn't fit the definition, but the bloodshed promises to be grand scale and unlikely to subside for a long time.
I believe the Western powers need this transition to be concluded as swiftly as possible for economic reasons, and I also believe that many people in govt. around the world are not willing to sit by and just watch Gaddafi retake power and fill the streets of Libya with the blood of his enemies, or suspected enemies. Economically speaking, in the short term, they might be better off just letting him retake Benghazi and put down the revolution. Considerations like that seem to have delayed the emergence of a pro-revolution response from, in particular, Great Britain (the civil govt/political subsidiary arm of British Petroleum). And the lateness of the response is the main source of worry for me. But they appear to have decided that Gaddafi's kind of stability in Libya will not be that stable for the long term. Not anymore. (If Col. Botox succeeded in putting down the revolution militarily would that be the end of it? Probably not. There would likely be an underground guerrilla/"terrorist" campaign following the defeat of the revolution, and that would likely target the oil facilities and BP assets, which equals unending oil mkt speculative orgy, which equals return to Great Depression II.) Therefore, they need him gone, and the ordeal gotten over with haste.
Although I have a lot of misgivings about this move, I hope that this decision to intervene will benefit the Libyan people, and will not prove to be as half-hearted as it was delayed. Until Obama shows some ulterior "oily" motivation through his actions, or indicates that he does intend to send ground forces in for occupation (which I really really can't believe he'd do) he gets a pass from me on this intervention. He went to the UN. The Arab League supports it. That has taken so much time that it may already be too late to help the Libyan revolution. Going to Congress? There's no time for that.
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