|
Edited on Wed Mar-30-11 11:55 AM by MineralMan
Since the very beginning of the disastrous incident involving the Fukushima nuclear power installation after the earthquake and tsunami in Japan, everyone's concerns have been rising. That's only natural. Nuclear power plant incidents have very dangerous potential consequences, and this one is a complex and major incident. That has led to an unfortunate problem with information. From our distant perspective in the United States, we have found it difficult to obtain and interpret the information that has been released.
In many cases, people are frustrated with the amount of information or skeptical about its accuracy. Further, few lay people understand nuclear power technology very well, so fragmented and time-related information is often misinterpreted or distorted. Add to that a strong, and justified, opposition to nuclear power generation, and some information has been distorted or even fabricated to support an opposition point of view.
The bottom line is that many people are scared, frustrated, angry, and are demanding that something be done immediately to stop this spread of radiation from Japan. Well, here are some points to consider regarding the entire thing:
1. This is a major incident at a major industrial scale facility. It is not simple. It is not easily explained to the layperson. The complexity of the problem and the sheer size of the facilities means that most of us do not understand what is going on or what will need to be done.
2. As with all major disasters, both natural and industrial, it takes a long time for accurate information to be gathered and disseminated. Remember Haiti. In Japan, not only was there a monster earthquake and tsunami, but a nuclear power facility was badly damaged. Lots happened in a very short time. Few Western media people were on the scene, and especially few from the United States. There are still few media people on the scene at Fukushima, because conditions there are very dangerous.
3. Reports from Japanese media that were, and are, available are often poorly translated and confusing. In addition, media writers and reporters often have little knowledge of nuclear technology and get basic information wrong. This was especially true early on in the overall incident, but is still true now.
4. Much is still not known about the extent of the damage to the reactors. They cannot be inspected internally by anyone, so assessment is based on external evidence. There is no consensus about what the damage is in a precise way, and there may not be a consensus for some time.
5. Radioactive material has been released during this incident. Accurate measurements are now available directly from the company that operates the reactors. Even Greenpeace has said that the current information is accurate. Interpreting that information, however, is very difficult for the layperson, and that includes members of the media. So, it's difficult for us to assess the actual risks, both in Japan and everywhere else, as small amounts of that radiation are spread by wind and water to other locations. No released radiation is a good thing, but actual risks depend entirely on doses received over time. There are some standards set for such exposure, and news is released about the relative risks both in the local area around the plant and in areas where isotopes have appeared elsewhere. This news is based on current standards regarding radiation exposure. That's the best officials can do when offering information. The actual measurements are available from monitoring stations, and can be accessed on the EPA's web site for US locations. The minuscule amounts of contamination that may make it to the United States will not require any changes in anyone's way of life nor pose any serious health risks. In in the extremely unlikely event that changes, you'll know about it quickly and in time to do whatever needs to be done.
6. This incident will not be resolved quickly or with simple measures. Before any attempt at a permanent end to the problem can be made, the extent of the damage must be assessed. So far, the extent of the damage is not known, and it may not be known for some time. Applying a solution without knowing that information could actually make the problem worse. Laypersons' suggestions for solutions will not work. Universally, they are simplistic, impractical, or completely out of scale. This facility is huge and complex. Any solution will have to be carefully planned, engineered, and executed. There is no simple fix. There is no non-technical fix. There is no fast fix.
7. Once the situation is fully understood, it will take weeks to determine the best way to approach solving it. Experts in nuclear technology from around the world will be involved in working toward a solution that will end the problem and stop the release of radioactive materials. Once a plan is in place, materials, equipment, and people will have to be moved to the location. Keep in mind the scale of the installation. Huge amounts of materials will be needed, whatever the solution, and all of them will have to be brought to the facility. It took years to construct the facility. It's enormous and complex in design. Then, there are the people who will have to work as safely as possible in a hazardous environment to apply whatever solution is designed. More time. This incident will not end for months. It could take a year or more to finally put an end to it. That's just the simple truth, due to the scale and complexity any solution will involve. Until it is fixed, the issues will continue. They may even worsen.
8. The world will not end. There will be damage, but this disaster does not spell the end of humanity or any such thing. For most of the inhabitants of this planet, this incident will not measurably alter their lifespan. For some near the site, and for some who work on the fix, there could be a great cost. Part of the time involved in fixing the problem will be spent trying to minimize that. We have been creating nuclear fallout and dumping it into the air and water since 1945. Thousands of nuclear weapons tests have blown radioactivity into the atmosphere, and it has circulated to every part of the planet. Chernobyl spewed radiation into the air, and that, too, has been distributed all over the planet. We are not dead or dying from those releases, even though cancer rates may have risen to a small degree. The effect on people, animals, and the environment has been small, except in localized areas, from all of this past activity. The same will be the case with Fukushima. It's a bad thing, but it will not spell the end of anything. Most of the isotopes released in such incidents have short half lives, and will decay until they no longer pose a risk, in weeks, months, or a few years. Eventually, they'll be gone as a risk. A few will last much, much longer, but will be diluted drastically in their spread though the atmosphere and water.
9. Patience is difficult, but there is no choice. It will take patience to get to the end of this incident. It will take patience to sort through the information that is available and to weed out incorrect information. For most of us, that will not even be possible. The incident has occurred, and can't be undone. It will be resolved at some point, but will have its own after effects, just as every other nuclear release has had, including all those nuclear weapons tests.
10. Nuclear power generation is not safe. It has never been safe. It cannot be made to be safe. If there's one thing all of us can do about what happened in Fukushima, it is to try to end the use of nuclear technology to generate electricity. That is a mission we can all participate in. We cannot undo what has been done. We cannot fix Fukushima. We cannot unexplode all those nuclear weapons. We can, however, try to get nuclear power generation stopped once and for all. We can try to do that. We may not succeed, but it is what we can do. I strongly urge that course of action in response to Fukushima. Beyond that, we can't fix Fukushima. That's a job for the experts.
|