....another economist "adviser" that urges the easy way to fix the deficit. Instead of creating jobs, "fix" Social Security.....
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/04/05/opinion/05munnell.html?_r=1&scp=1&sq=Social%20Security%20Op%20Ed&st=cseTo Cut the Deficit, Look to Social SecurityBy ALICIA H. MUNNELL
Chestnut Hill, Mass.
WHILE Washington wrangles over how much can be cut from a sliver of the federal budget — the 12 percent that makes up non-defense discretionary spending — responsible politicians from both sides of the aisle know that the real issue is entitlement programs like Social Security.
Solving Social Security’s problems would not only reduce the long-term deficit, but also improve the future security of retirees.
That view might surprise analysts who point out that Social Security has not contributed to the deficit in the past, because it’s been financed by payroll taxes, and technically cannot in the future because, by law, it cannot spend money it doesn’t have.
But in reality, scheduled Social Security benefits and current payroll taxes are included in long-term deficit projections by the Congressional Budget Office, the Office of Management and Budget and the Government Accountability Office. These projections matter: policymakers, investors and the bond markets use them to gauge the nation’s fiscal health. Since a shortfall in Social Security is embedded in these projections, eliminating that shortfall would substantially improve the long-term budget outlook and the nation’s creditworthiness.
Restoring balance to Social Security would also make Americans feel more secure about their retirement. Surveys have repeatedly shown that many Americans do not believe that Social Security will be there for them. While such an assessment is wrong — even without any changes, Social Security payroll taxes could pay 100 percent of benefits for the next 25 years, and 75 percent to 80 percent of benefits for decades thereafter — anxiety about the program’s future leads people to grab benefits as soon as they can. The problem is that benefits claimed at the early retirement age, 62, are 25 percent smaller than at the full retirement age (currently 66) and are likely to be inadequate when retirees have exhausted their other sources of income later in life. Eliminating the Social Security shortfall will, therefore, reduce the misplaced fear that causes Americans to claim benefits early.
The key question is how much of Social Security’s financing gap should be closed by cutting benefits versus raising taxes. Some of both will be needed, but slashing benefits is dangerous because retirements are already at risk.
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A balanced plan of benefit cuts and tax increases can more than solve the Social Security problem for 75 years. While the Domenici-Rivlin plan is far from perfect — for example, the change in the cost-of-living adjustment would hurt the oldest of the old — it can serve as a starting point. Restoring balance to Social Security would make Americans feel more secure, increase national confidence in our finances and set a precedent for bipartisan action. This is not a political game. Someone has to go first and put a proposal on the table.