No doubt at all. Kloppenburg wins.

[Zynx]

Look at the swings in most of the swing counties, especially Columbia, from 2010. This is a done deal.

[Dawson Leery]

1. Waukesha is still has many votes out. This is a very right wing area.

Still the swings in the rural areas are impressive. Several counties which McCain and Walker carried are going to Kloppenberg.

[Goblinmonger]

2. Milwaukee and Dane barely have half in.

It's going to be close, but I think it looks good for Kloppenberg. I'm not popping the cork, yet, though.

[hlthe2b]

9. TMJ 4 at 69% reporting 50% :Kloppenbug : 50%Prosser

[Zynx]

3. There's so much of Milwaukee to report and Waukesha is probably half reported in terms of votes.

[brentspeak]

5. Waukesha still has 75% left to report n/t

[Dawson Leery]

6. The remainder of the Waukesha precincts are not that populated then?

[rpannier]

23. Waukesha has cleared half nt

[rpannier]

21. Waukesha has about 70 precincts left and they are right wing you are right 3:1

But Milwaukee has over 100 precincts left

[LaPera]

4. You should be correct-Let's hope there's no 4 in the morning electronic voting machine flip!

And we wake up tomorrow and like magic the republican comes from behind with a mathematical improbable win happens all the time in every election and republicans always benefit - I wonder why?

[Shiver]

8. We have paper ballots in Wisconsin.

[liberal life]

14. we have optical scans, but they are put through diebold central tabulators

no one sees the result at the precinct before they are sent in. Central tabulators can be easily manipulated in less than 5 minutes, Bev Harris showed Howard Dean how in Hack the vote. Really simple, even idiot Rebublicans could figure it out.

We had 200% voter turnout in 16 out of 40 districts. Dems sued to see results. results were changed with an 'oops we don't know what happened'. Never has been cleared up. You REALLY have to keep an eye on these elections!


http://fucorporatemedia.com/

[Takket]

7. where are you all following this?

nt

[hlthe2b]

10. 69% reporting------- 50% :Kloppenbug : 50%Prosser

per http://elections.todaystmj4.com/G8801.htm 10:32 CDT

[hlthe2b]

12. 71% reporting... still tied

Supreme Court REPORTING 71%
Joanne Kloppenburg 552,053 50%
David Prosser (inc) 546,662 50%

[liberal life]

11. here's hoping you are right

:toast:



http://fucorporatemedia.com/

[loudsue]

13. That's a little premature, dontcha think?

[Zynx]

15. You can look to proxy results around the state to figure things out before the full vote is in.

She has the swings she needs.

[hlthe2b]

16. still tied at 73% reporting

[Tatiana]

17. Voting was HEAVY in favor of Kloppenburg in Milwaukee according to my sister.

I think she wins. There is a complete reversal of the apathy of 2010. Dem voters actually had something and someone to vote FOR.

[hlthe2b]

18. 76% reporting.... still tied up

[hlthe2b]

19. 78% still tied

[modestybl]

20. Actually, Joanne Kloppenburg leads...

... by over 6,000 votes!


Joanne Kloppenburg 571,145 50%

David Prosser (inc) 564,352 50%

[hlthe2b]

22. I think I'd hang back from celebrating... though hopeful

[Ramulux]

24. I'm not so sure anymore

Prosser is massively over-performing in Milwaukee. That is not good.

[hlthe2b]

25. 81% K moves ahead...

Supreme Court REPORTING 81%
Joanne Kloppenburg 609,621 51%
David Prosser (inc) 591,880 49%

[Bjorn Against]

26. Parts of Milwaukee county are very red...

Remember that Scott Walker was first elected to public office as a Milwaukee County Executive, while the city itself is blue the surrounding suburbs are not. I suspect that the reason it looks like Prosser is over performing there is because the suburbs are reporting first, if the remaining precincts are in the city then I think we will see a big shift in the numbers.

[Arkana]

27. Kloppenburg's leading by almost 18K votes with nearly 80% of the precincts in.

She's pulling away. Unless Prosser surges in what's left to count in Waukesha or Washington County, he's toast.

[modestybl]

29. 84% in ... Joanne Kloppenburg has it just about nailed...

Supreme Court REPORTING 84%

Joanne Kloppenburg 640,660 51%

David Prosser (inc) 605,734 49%

[hlthe2b]

28. 82% K holding her lead

Supreme Court REPORTING 82%
Joanne Kloppenburg 614,306 51%
David Prosser (inc)595,474 49%

[hlthe2b]

30. 84% and K still leads

Supreme Court REPORTING 84%
Joanne Kloppenburg 640,660 51%
David Prosser (inc) 605,734 49%

[demwing]

31. RESULTS as 11:00 pm CDT - 84% Reporting

Joanne Kloppenburg: 640,660 = 51%
David Prosser: 605,734 = 49%

[demwing]

32. REPORTING 85% - Prosser small surge...

Joanne Kloppenburg: 648,723 = 51%
David Prosser: 624,972 = 49%

In the last 1% reporting, Prosser cut Kloppenburg's lead from 35k down to 24K

[demwing]

34. REPORTING 88% Prosser surges again 50/50 tie

Joanne Kloppenburg: 655,325 = 50%
David Prosser: 650,059 = 50%

[hlthe2b]

33. damn... tightening again... 88% reporting tied.

Supreme Court REPORTING 88%
Joanne Kloppenburg 655,325 50%
David Prosser (inc) 650,059 50%

[modestybl]

35. How much of Madison is in?

This is getting too close...

[hlthe2b]

36. 90% in all tied up

Supreme Court REPORTING 90%
Joanne Kloppenburg 670,661 50%
David Prosser (inc)668,985 50%

[demwing]

37. Prosser closing fast - only 1700 votes difference

Supreme Court REPORTING 90%
Joanne Kloppenburg: 670,661 = 50%
David Prosser: 668,985 = 50%

This late surge shit is killing me...

[demwing]

38. Still 90%, but Kloppenburg just doubled her lead!

Joanne Kloppenburg 677,141 50%
David Prosser (inc) 673,670 50%

Lead jumped from 1700 to 3400!

[hlthe2b]

39. 92% in, still tied, K has small lead

Supreme Court REPORTING 92%
Joanne Kloppenburg 684,512 50%
David Prosser (inc)682,935 50%

[demwing]

40. REPORTING 92% - Kloppenburg still leads, but slipping again

Joanne Kloppenburg 684,512 = 50%
David Prosser (inc) 682,935 = 50%

1500 vote difference

[demwing]

42. Nail biter! Kloppenburgs trails by 500 votes :(

David Prosser (inc) 687,274 50%
Joanne Kloppenburg 686,683 50%

[fishwax]

41. Prosser now ahead by about 500

:(

[demwing]

44. We seem to be in Prosser territory now

which is a bad place to be at less than 10% to go...

[a kennedy]

43. What the h*ll is going on in Dane Co???? Madison...

it's been stuck at those numbers for it seems like forever.

[demwing]

45. link? /nt

[a kennedy]

47. here:

http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2011/by_county/WI_Supreme_Court_0405.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS

[demwing]

54. thanks

Milwaukee and Dane still have precincts out, but Waukesha has many more, and is soli for Prosser

Sadly, not looking good...

[hlthe2b]

46. Damn... Prosser takes tiny lead with 93% REPORTING

Supreme Court REPORTING 93%
David Prosser (inc) 689,201 50%
Joanne Kloppenburg 688,802 50%

[demwing]

48. REPORTING 93% Prosser leads by <400

David Prosser (inc) 689,201 = 50%
Joanne Kloppenburg 688,802 = 50%

[hlthe2b]

49. Prosser surging a bit with 94% in...

David Prosser (inc) 698,973 50%
Joanne Kloppenburg 692,463 50%

[Motown_Johnny]

51. yep, I am getting worried now

Dane is pretty much in and Waukesha still has 68 precincts to report

[hlthe2b]

53. 95% in... Prosser 's lead decreasing... still percentage tie

Supreme Court REPORTING 95%
David Prosser (inc)703,414 50%
Joanne Kloppenburg 701,624 50%

[demwing]

50. Supreme Court REPORTING 94% = Prosser pulling away...

David Prosser (inc) 698,973 - 50%
Joanne Kloppenburg 692,463 - 50%



Prosser leads by 6500

[Motown_Johnny]

52. down to about a 1500 vote spread with 95% in

this is a nail biter

[demwing]

58. 97% in , Prosser leads by 1900 votes /nt

[fishwax]

55. By my estimation, Prosser has more precincts remaining. Not looking good

Looks like Prosser is 6k ahead, with 83 precints left in heavily republican counties (based on current vote totals) and 46 leaning republican. There are 72 precincts remaining in heavily democratic counties and 17 in counties leaning democrats. Those numbers are a bit out of time now, I'm sure, but it's not looking encouraging ...

[Skittles]

56. riiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiight

literally riiiiiiiiiiiiiigt :(

[hlthe2b]

57. 97% reporting; Prosser leads by about 2000

Supreme Court REPORTING 97%
David Prosser (inc) 703,675 50%
Joanne Kloppenburg 701,760 50%

[fishwax]

59. Right now the margin is not much more than one-tenth of one percent--I assume this will mean runoff

either way :kick:

[demwing]

62. Wisconsin recount procedures

Any candidate voted for at any election may request a recount. The candidate must file a verified petition with the clerk or body with whom nomination papers are to be filed for that office. The petition should be filed not earlier than the time of completion of the canvass and not later than 5:00 p.m. on the third business day following the determination of the results of the election. The petition must specify each ward or municipality in which a recount is desired. An opposing candidate or any voter or other interested party may similarly file a petition for a recount in any or all of the remaining wards or municipalities.

If the difference between the votes cast for the leading candidate and those cast for the petitioner is not more than 0.5% of the total votes if more than 1,000 votes are cast, the petitioner is not required to pay a fee. Otherwise, the petitioner must pay the calculated or estimated fee at the time of filing.

http://ballotpedia.org/wiki/index.php/Recount_laws_in_Wisconsin

[hlthe2b]

60. still at 97% reporting, Prosser's lead down to about 1200

[demwing]

61. Supreme Court REPORTING 97% / 1,183 vote lead for Prosser

David Prosser (inc) 704,507 = 50%
Joanne Kloppenburg 703,324 = 50%

[demwing]

63. Still 97%, Prosser opens 4671 vote lead.

David Prosser (inc) 720,760 = 50%
Joanne Kloppenburg 716,089 = 50%

[demwing]

64. Still at 97%, Prosser lead down to 2415

David Prosser (inc) 722,836 = 50%
Joanne Kloppenburg 720,421 = 50%

[demwing]

65. HOLY CRAP, Waukesha 100% in, Milwaukee still largest uncounted votes

I think Kloppenburg may actually pull this off!

Largest # of uncounted votes come from Sauk, Dane, Milwaukee, Portage, Eau Claire, Dunn, Crawford, Ashland and Adams - all favoring Kloppenburg so far! Milwaukee is huge vote resource, Kloppenburg leads that area 57% to 43%.

Prosser has Buffalo, Calumet, Jefferson, Manitowoc, Marathon, Oneida, and Taylor - with only 13 precincts in each area except for Marathon, but Marathon is a fairly small area, and has been pretty well split between the two candidates. (16000 to 14000)

Waukesha was where Prosser surged, and its done. :)

[L. Coyote]

68. And there is something strange in Milwaukee tonight. Red Shift = 5.20%

61.6% Barrett, 56.4% Kloppenburger. This 5.20% red shift is an outlier. Maybe the missing precincts are strong liberal precincts??

[MadBadger]

70. Barrett did hail from Milwaukee

[L. Coyote]

71. Wisconsin : Milwaukee voting machines

http://www.verifiedvoting.org/verifier/map.php?ec=mixed&year=2008&statefips=55&countyfips=79

[demwing]

66. They sure are taking a long time to update

don't they understand we're waiting over here? :)

[Shiver]

67. I'm going out for a cigarette.

I better come back to see we have a new justice on the State Supreme Court...

Edit: Dammit, no change...

[demwing]

69. Thread #3 HERE

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_mesg&forum=439&topic_id=823664&mesg_id=823664