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I read conflicting information on the Internet. I'm not sure what is happening, so I ask this as a question.
I read, somewhere, employer provided health insurance is lower than it has been in fifteen years.
I read, elsewhere, people say employer provided health insurance is alive and well.
I suspect, but don't have proof, the following will happen: 1) more employees will be temps not covered by employer provided health insurance
2) Employers provided health insurance, as part of a benefit, to attract employees. With this recession, the work force market is an employer's market. Employers don't have to compete as hard to get employees and can offer less.
3) Employers used to offer pension plans as a way to attract employees. In some industries, high technology, for instance, 401Ks have replaced pensions...perhaps large, older high technology companies such as IBM still offer pensions, but most younger companies do not.
4) In a global economy, the cost of providing health insurance is less in a number of foreign countries making foreign employees more attractive.
I believe companies will continue to hire more foreign workers.
Either foreign employees are covered by government-run health plans, such as employees in most developed countries in Europe and Japan, or foreign employees, such as those in developing countries, don't feel they have the leverage to demand health insurance.
5) I believe, but lack proof, companies will cut health insurance benefits to compete with foreign companies.
6) I believe, but lack proof, there is a trend to outsource work to third party companies, with a number of third party companies located in developing countries, so companies no longer have cheap labor. Executives and highly paid professionals will still be treated well.
7) I believe, the lessening of labor unions, reduces the bargaining power of cheaper labor. Cheaper labor can't negotiate health insurance benefits or other benefits.
The United States was the "center" of the world after World War 2. Europe and Japan were devastated. South America and Africa were still developing. India was still a developing country. China was still a developing country. The Soviet Union focused on a strong military, but was otherwise, a developing country.
The United States is becoming less important to the world economy. We are still a very large consumer, but other countries are catching up. China recently become the largest auto market in the world.
We can no longer lead the world economy, unchallenged. If companies, in other countries, don't have to provide health insurance, our companies will stop providing health insurance, except to executives.
As I say, I don't have sufficient proof for my beliefs...but suspect this will happen. This might make for a good college research project. I wonder if any college has done such a project.
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