Quinnipiac Poll Feb 1st Iowa - Bernie 49% - Hillary 46%

February 1, 2016 - First-Timers Put Trump Ahead In Iowa GOP Caucus, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Sanders Needs First-Timers To Tie Clinton In Dem Caucus

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Also relying on first-time Iowa likely Democratic Caucus participants, Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont has 49 percent, with 46 percent for former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and 3 percent for former Maryland Gov. Martin O'Malley. Only 2 percent remain undecided and 14 percent of those who name a candidate say they might change their mind.

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"The size of the turnout tonight will likely be the key factor, especially on the Democratic side," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll. "High turnouts with lots of new caucus participants likely would mean a good night for Sen. Bernie Sanders, and for Donald Trump."

Link to the poll here: [link:http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/iowa/release-detail?ReleaseID=2320|