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Conor Lamb: Got a Thank You Postcard (Original Post)
iluvtennis
Feb 2018
OP
Cha
(297,818 posts)1. Sweet!
Lady_Chat
(561 posts)2. How is he doing?
Been trying to follow the race, but have trouble finding out any information about it. I really hope he wins this. That was very nice of him to send that postcard.
iluvtennis
(19,882 posts)3. It's in the margin of error... Saccone (R) 49%, Lamb (D) 46%...
http://www.post-gazette.com/news/politics-local/2018/02/15/rick-saccone-conor-lamb-special-election-district-18-congress-pennsylvania/stories/201802150135
With just under a month to go before the March 13 special election, the race between Republican Rick Saccone and Democrat Conor Lamb in Pennsylvanias 18th Congressional District is far closer than expected, according to a new poll from Monmouth University. But its unclear how much more room Mr. Lamb has to grow.
Mr. Saccone holds a lead over Mr. Lamb, with a margin that varies depending on which turnout model pollsters use. Assuming that partisan turnout is consistent with that of other special elections in the past year, Mr. Saccones advantage is 49 to 46 percent. A lower-turnout model, one that assumes voters turn out in the same proportions as the 2014 midterm elections, gives Mr. Saccone a 5-point edge of 50 to 45 percent. Both those results are within the polls 5.5 percent margin of error, making the race a statistical tie.
Saccone has a slight edge, but its nowhere near the double digit advantage Republicans typically enjoy in this district, said Patrick Murray, who directs Monmouth Universitys Polling Institute, in a statement. The potential for a Democratic surge like we have seen in other special elections helps Lamb stay in the hunt but it does not close the gap entirely.
...continued at link
With just under a month to go before the March 13 special election, the race between Republican Rick Saccone and Democrat Conor Lamb in Pennsylvanias 18th Congressional District is far closer than expected, according to a new poll from Monmouth University. But its unclear how much more room Mr. Lamb has to grow.
Mr. Saccone holds a lead over Mr. Lamb, with a margin that varies depending on which turnout model pollsters use. Assuming that partisan turnout is consistent with that of other special elections in the past year, Mr. Saccones advantage is 49 to 46 percent. A lower-turnout model, one that assumes voters turn out in the same proportions as the 2014 midterm elections, gives Mr. Saccone a 5-point edge of 50 to 45 percent. Both those results are within the polls 5.5 percent margin of error, making the race a statistical tie.
Saccone has a slight edge, but its nowhere near the double digit advantage Republicans typically enjoy in this district, said Patrick Murray, who directs Monmouth Universitys Polling Institute, in a statement. The potential for a Democratic surge like we have seen in other special elections helps Lamb stay in the hunt but it does not close the gap entirely.
...continued at link