98% reporting. Lamb increases lead to .4%

[mnmoderatedem]

add in the absentee ballots, and I'm cautiously optimistic.

[GusBob]

1. This ones going into overtime

While we are waiting, have you seen all the changes to the Packers roster?

[mnmoderatedem]

2. ohhhhh yeah

lots of news all the way around today.

Hate to see Jordy go, but pumped about Graham and Wilkerson....

[Awsi Dooger]

3. Jimmy Graham is a good pickup

He's lost deep speed but his boxing out technique has improved in the red zone, defaulting to his Canes basketball days.

I think he should lose some weight and try to regain some of the downfield capability. Maybe Rodgers can convince him of that.

[Blue_true]

4. The margin should increase.

The areas around the outstanding precincts went heavily for Lamb. Saccone has exhausted his strong areas. I predicted a 1% Lamb win based upon outstanding vote, the results will likely be close to 1%.

[mr_lebowski]

8. It grew from 96 to 97, and even more from 97 to 98 ...

That trend continues obviously this is in the bag.

Supposedly there's 4000-ish Absentees but it'd be SHOCKING if +700 votes could be found for Saccone, let alone 1000.

[mr_lebowski]

5. I don't see how Saccone makes up 700 votes with only 2% of the vote remaining to count based on the

current average that FAVORS Lamb ...

I mean that's maybe what 4K votes? So, all of a sudden the last 4000 votes go 2400 to 1600 saccone? He suddenly gets a group of votes that he wins like 66% to 33% when he wasn't even close to that big a win in Greene County?

Ain't HAPPENING folks, not w/o cheating.

[Maraya1969]

12. OK I get you. Thanks! I feel relieved now

[mr_lebowski]

13. Yeah, well basically almost EXACTLY just happened ...

Going from 98 to 99% showed a sudden HUGE skew to Saccone that far outweighed the 7% advantage he held in Washington up to the 93% point.

A bit crushing but supposedly Abseentee's should favor Lamb, so ...

FINGERS CROSSED!

[lapfog_1]

6. so Kornaki just said 9000 votes remaining

6000 in red area... running 56% for repuke
3000 in blue area... running 58% for Lamb.

My calculation shows the 900 vote gap closes by 270 votes.

So Lamb wins by 630 votes ( give or take ).

Recount. But if recount holds, Lamb wins.

[mr_lebowski]

9. Not sure how there could even be 8K left unless it counts absentee let alone 9k

Can't be at 98% counted w/8K remaining, if my math is right ...

[underpants]

10. Marking. Your math is strong

[lapfog_1]

11. It's what I do for a living... math in my head.

[mnmoderatedem]

7. still 7% of Washington county to report

and that favors Saccone.

But the absentee ballots in Allegheny county absentee ballots should overcome that.