General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsCan We Retake the House?
With the weakness of Mitt Romney as a candidate and the lack of coherence and loyalty within the Republican caucuses, it may be a mistake to predict the outcome of congressional elections based on the 2008 results in those districts. It's hard to say. The wheels definitely came off the GOP clown car in September and October of 2008. I think the wheels are starting to come off a little earlier this time around.
Can the GOP avoid terrifying swing-voters at their convention? Can Romney overcome his foot-in-mouth disease? Will outside money make all the difference?
I have said for a couple of years that this would not be a close election. I have believed for a long time that the American people would be more decisive this time, one way or the other, than they have been in recent times. I still believe that. And my gut tells me that the House of Representatives is in play.
http://www.boomantribune.com/story/2012/8/1/105011/2149
kentuck
(111,092 posts)with the right strategy.
ananda
(28,859 posts)nt
nadinbrzezinski
(154,021 posts)saying such at the California Democratic Party.
Two well-known Democrats are vying for the nomination: Lori Saldaña, former Assemblywoman and past Associate Dean at Mesa College, and Scott Peters, former San Diego City Council president and Port director.
Redistricting has shifted the districts registration balance from strongly Republican to nearly equally divided between the major parties: 35.4% Republican, 32.7% Democratic, and the wild card factor of 27.2% decline to state.
http://eastcountymagazine.org/node/8694
And from all I have seen so far, yup. she will get that gavel back.
Xyzse
(8,217 posts)I like Pelosi.
nadinbrzezinski
(154,021 posts)and pols do not go there with press, unless they are that sure.
1StrongBlackMan
(31,849 posts)that the one Convention thing they could do to incite their base (install a "true conservative" would terrify those swing voters that they need.
Wounded Bear
(58,649 posts)here in Washington State. I sure hope it goes blue.
brooklynite
(94,539 posts)I've met with DCCC, I've supported a range of House candidates, and I'd like to be more optimistic, but I'm not seeing any trends that suggest we can pick up net + 25 seats. Personally, I'm thinking of pulling out of the House races and targeting all my remaining money to the Senate.
discopants
(535 posts)Corporate money can easily buy the smaller races to keep repubs in. That's going to be nearly impossible to overcome.
oldhippydude
(2,514 posts)despite what he polls say, and the talking heads... i place a lot of value on what Politicians say candidly ... about a month or so ago Nancy Pelosi seemed rather confident in saying we will take back the house..
Proud Liberal Dem
(24,412 posts)and Romney was going to be their "Auto-Pen"?
99Forever
(14,524 posts)... Democrats (real Democrats, not bluemutts) get over 60 Senate seats, I don't see how as it would make much of a difference.
Color me skeptical.
global1
(25,245 posts)with respect to the House and Senate - I really don't see much chatter here on DU or in the MSM regarding the prospects of the Dems taking back the House. I wish they would put a full court press on it.
kentuck
(111,092 posts)If Repubs are not turned on by Mitt Romney, many will stay home and not vote at all. That would be unusual for the Republican Party. It is more common with the Democratic Party, in my opinion.
If there is a low turnout for Repubs and a good turnout for the Democrats, I could see the Democrats winning 35-40 seats, which would give them a good majority. It would also mean they would keep the Senate and the White House. The Democrats would get one more chance to fix it.
msongs
(67,405 posts)tabbycat31
(6,336 posts)And in the district I'm working in right now (to retake the House), it is a VERY winnable race. (The seat was held by a Democrat for 28 years until 2010 when he was replaced by a teabagger).
If you would like more information on how you can help out in this race, PM me.