Trump is at 42, 41, 40, and 38 in the latest Gallup. CNN, CBS, and IBD polls.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

Where was that huge pop again ?




BTW, trump's average low was about 37% when he suggested the Neo-NAZIS at Charlottesville were good people. He will do something equally stupid or despicable and test those lows again.

[elocs]

1. "President Trump's Approval Rating Has Been Steady. Richard Nixon's Once Was Too."

[link:https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/president-trumps-approval-rating-has-been-steady-richard-nixons-once-was-too/|

"Nonetheless, be careful if you think Trump’s demise is right around the corner. Even if there were a big shift in Trump’s approval ratings eventually, it could take a long time for it to come, perhaps only after he was successfully re-elected — as was the case for Nixon. Or, the surprise could be that Trump’s ratings shift way upward instead of way downward. (Since Trump’s approval ratings are low to begin with, he might have more room to go up than down.)

Also, it probably isn’t a coincidence that both Trump and Obama had narrow approval-rating ranges given how intense partisanship is these days. For Trump’s approval rating to get much higher than 50 percent, he would need significant crossover support from Democrats; for it to get much lower than 35 percent, he would need a significant number of Republican voters to turn on him.8 The theory that Trump’s popularity is bounded within a narrow range has a lot going for it, including that it has described the actual behavior of his approval rating well so far. Still, history tells us that presidential approval ratings behave in a relatively unpredictable fashion."

[a kennedy]

2. and here's 538's from 30 minutes ago......

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/trump-approval-ratings/?ex_cid=rrpromo

[DemocratSinceBirth]

3. The average of the polls I cited were 40.3%. Pretty close.

[a kennedy]

7. Yah, and like others I can't believe it's past 30%.....

[oberliner]

4. Mind-boggling that it is so high

[DemocratSinceBirth]

5. Attribute it to a continuation of the Obama economy.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/6-questions-about-trumps-economy-you-were-too-embarrassed-to-ask/2018/04/30/663a3a1a-4cb6-11e8-af46-b1d6dc0d9bfe_story.html?utm_term=.330cbdf80944

[oberliner]

6. Maybe

Do you think his approval ratings would be lower if the economy was doing worse?

[DemocratSinceBirth]

9. IMHO that is the only thing holding him up.

The backdrop to Nixon's resignation was a recession.

[oberliner]

10. You don't think he'd just blame the bad economy on Democrats and his fans would buy it?

[DemocratSinceBirth]

11. His hardcore fans don't comprise approximately forty percent of the electorate.

A not insignificant portion of that forty percent are along for the ride as long as their bellies are full.

[NewJeffCT]

8. Even though he did not cause it

Trump took credit for the end of the war between North & South Korea, and much of the media just went along for the ride. Then, Republicans in the House started pushing for Trump to get the Nobel Peace Prize... it added up to a bump of several points.

That, plus the economy is still doing okay, despite rising gas prices.

[helpisontheway]

12. We are gonna end up with that

@sshole for 6 more years. I never thought Bush would get re-elected and I was devastated. Trump is a million times worse than Bush /Cheney but he knows how to dominate the media. They are always talking about him. Then he spins it as good..

[DemocratSinceBirth]

13. W's approval trajectory looked nothing like Trump's

And Bush was at 76% approval at this point in his presidency:

2002 May 6-9

76

19

5

http://news.gallup.com/poll/116500/presidential-approval-ratings-george-bush.aspx