General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsCook Political Report:
When should be start paying attention to the generic ballot?
https://www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/house/house-overview/when-should-we-start-paying-attention-congressional-generic-ballot
As of late, the Conman's approval has risen and the Democrat's advantage is down to 6%.
This could just be people tuning out for the Summer, or something else.
BootinUp
(47,146 posts)still_one
(92,190 posts)excuse this time that they don't know who trump is, or the positions of the republican party on women's rights, worker's rights, civil rights, the environment, Medicare, Social Security, Medicaid, healthcare, etc. etc. etc.
jcgoldie
(11,631 posts)The lying, the philandering, the narcissism, the ignorance, the racism, the misogyny ... its the new presidential normal.
Loki Liesmith
(4,602 posts)former9thward
(32,006 posts)In December it was a D advantage of 13% and now it is 5%.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/2018_generic_congressional_vote-6185.html
Dawson Leery
(19,348 posts)I also noticed that as the D's numbers fall, the undecideds go up.
Loki Liesmith
(4,602 posts)Link to tweet
?s=21
former9thward
(32,006 posts)I showed my evidence, your tweets had none, just gave opinions without showing any facts.
Dawson Leery
(19,348 posts)brooklynite
(94,571 posts)blue neen
(12,321 posts).
lamp_shade
(14,834 posts)grantcart
(53,061 posts)1) We aren't running generic candidates. Two weeks ago the Democrats lost one of the reddest districts in the country which we had lost by 21% and barely lost by 4%.
Our candidate was a naturalized American with no previous political experience in an election that is supposed to be all about tribe and immigration.
We aren't running candidates, we are running great candidates.
2) Republican primaries. The Republican primary is pulling their candidates far to the right. In the race for Flakes seat the Republican's best candidate, McSally, had to abandon support of the Dreamers. She could lose to either one of the nutters running against her. We have a good candidate. Should McCain's seat open it is possible Mark Kelly could run.
In the by elections so far you can see we have great candidates. We have many great candidates including great women candidates running.
3) Generic ballots and job approval polls have one major flaw, they don't measure depth. Two rivers might be seen to be covered with ice. One sheet is an inch deep and the other 3 feet deep but they each count as one river covered by ice. Our river is 3 feet deep and theirs is one inch.
Dawson Leery
(19,348 posts)We will see how today's election in PA goes.
We have both primary and special elections, the latter are to fill seats vacated by the Fascist Party.
If we win them, our momentum is clearly on the move still.
grantcart
(53,061 posts)is the least questionable.
Depth reflects enthusiasm and Democrats have been out performing past turnout in every election so far.
NYT runs special election coverage with each election and one of the features is an arrow over every single county either blue or red to show which way the voting trend is going. There have been literally thousands of blue arrows and a dozen red arrows in all the maps in al the various states.
In my district in Arizona the Democrats in my district have formed their own PAC outside of the party to turn our district from red to blue (it was Gifford's seat and is basically split evenly).
They recently had a forum for 6 out of the 7 candidates running and hundreds showed up
https://www.democraticunderground.com/100210576713
The Republicans are so afraid of demonstrators showing up and having to answer questions about the Affordable Care Act and the Dreamers that they have to hold their candidates forum at a secret location with no press coverage and get a couple of dozen people coming.
DFW
(54,378 posts)Or, more to the point, in 5 months?