General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsWhich Republican will drop out after tonight?
My money is on Michele Bachmann. Iowa is her backyard. She practically lived there over the past year. She was the early frontrunner who is left with almost no money and very low numbers. If she lives up her low expectations, there is no rational (yeah, I know) explanation for her to continue. Who else do you think is out after tonight?
rox63
(9,464 posts)After she has a dismal showing tonight. She was apparently born and raised in Iowa, which doesn't appear to have helped her at all.
snooper2
(30,151 posts)TheWraith
(24,331 posts)Which is forever.
monmouth
(21,078 posts)oberliner
(58,724 posts)I think they all soldier onwards towards New Hampshire.
Raine1967
(11,589 posts)We will see people drop out after New Hampshire. There have been many examples of a candidate winning NO delegates in IOWA and still going on to win the parties nomination.
Case in point: Huckabee won in 2008 with 34% of the vote, McCain got 13%.
And If IIRC, John Edwards beat out Hillary clinton for the #2 position.
Raine1967
(11,589 posts)Rick Perry appears to suspending his campaign. HE really is the Fred Thompsonof 2012.
Mea Culpa.
sufrommich
(22,871 posts)both be gone.
cthulu2016
(10,960 posts)His whole campaign is New Hampshire.
Then he'll drop out.
sufrommich
(22,871 posts)huge lead in New Hampshire (43%), with Huntsman a very distant third (10%). He's basically throwing money away after Iowa.
http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/polls/202079-mitt-romney-holds-solid-lead-in-nh
cthulu2016
(10,960 posts)I'm not saying he is rational -- just that he won't drop out before NH
SaintPete
(533 posts)He's not in any rush to bail
sufrommich
(22,871 posts)SaintPete
(533 posts)I should have read deeper into the source I found that placed him 2nd:
January 2, 2012
Ron Paul finished with 1,844 votes (28%) to win the second to last 2012 New Hampshire Primary online straw poll. Jon Huntsman finished in a surprising second with 24% edging out hometown favorite Mitt Romney who finished in third with 23%. Newt Gingrich finished in fourth with a respectable 12%.
http://2012newhampshireprimary.com/ron-paul-wins-latest-hampshire-primary-straw-poll/
Online straw poll. Not worth the paper it was written on
AlinPA
(15,071 posts)Why Huntsman cant win the republican primaries:
1. He supported civil unions as Governor of Utah
2. He said he would not use federal powers to block a law legalizing same-sex marriage.
3. He threatened to veto a bill repealing in-state college tuition for illegal immigrants.
4. He signed a bill giving illegal aliens access to driving-privilege cards.
5. He supports granting more H-1B visas to foreigners
6. He has not taken an anti-immigrant or anti-Hispanic stance.
7. He signed the Western Climate Initiative, by which Utah joined with other governments in agreeing to pursue targets for reduced production of greenhouse gases.
8. He appeared in an advertisement sponsored by Environmental Defense, in which he said, Now its time for Congress to act by capping greenhouse-gas pollution"
9. He worked in the Obama administration as an ambassador to China
10. He is a Mormon
11. He said he believes in science
12. He said he believes in evolution.
13. He has said that President Obama is an American citizen.
14. He is too rational, too normal, too genteel for most of todays conservatives.
SaintPete
(533 posts)if for no other reason that the longer it takes to get the GOPers behind Romney, the better the Dems will do.
AlinPA
(15,071 posts)SaintPete
(533 posts)it's good for the country.
But I don't think he's running to win this year. I don't think he's even interested in a VP slot...I believe Huntsman is running to position himself for 2016, when he'll be able to face off against a lesser candidate than Obama.
AlinPA
(15,071 posts)Sarah Palin is probably sorry that she didn't run because she would be in the lead now.
tledford
(917 posts)Life Long Dem
(8,582 posts)Because I was getting some vibes she would never go away like Palin.
onenote
(42,821 posts)to maintain her visibility and thus her place in the VP sweepstakes field.
Liberal_Stalwart71
(20,450 posts)brooklynite
(94,916 posts)It's only a week to New Hampshire, and assuming an indeterminate result in Iowa (three candidates bunches together), there's no reason not to play on and hope that the top tier people stumble.
oberliner
(58,724 posts)After NH we will see the first drops (Hunstman, most likely).
liberal N proud
(60,352 posts)Most of them are not in it to win it, they are in it to sell the books and raise their speaking fees.
quinnox
(20,600 posts)I don't care about the GOP race, or what ever happens in it. I just keep repeating to myself "Obama is the winner" over and over
HEH HEH
NewImproved Deal
(534 posts)--Bachmann, Perry and Santorum--may linger until South Carolina to make a bid for that GOP constituency.
Historic NY
(37,458 posts)LadyInAZ
(172 posts)Erose999
(5,624 posts)He doesn't even have the "I'm the douchebag from Texas" card anymore, as Paulbot is also from Texas.
cthulu2016
(10,960 posts)joeybee12
(56,177 posts)All too full of themselves...
Not to mention delusional.
UTUSN
(70,779 posts)some decency, but his running in the first place laid that to rest.
SaintPete
(533 posts)I don't think he's in to win, just to increase name recognition for 2016