***Breaking: First post primary FL poll out with Gillum and Nelson both jumping to early leads**!

[NewsCenter28]

Link to tweet

[irresistable]

1. This year, Democrats will substantially outperform the polls.

I am absolutely thrilled!

[workinclasszero]

5. The polls seriously under counted Gillum voters

Take this phenomenon nationwide and QUIVER IN YOUR BOOTS GOP!!!

The BLUE TSUNAMI is coming you rat bastards and JUSTICE with it!!!!

[Tiggeroshii]

2. Those leads are just going to keep growing.

Last edited Thu Aug 30, 2018, 05:08 PM - Edit history (1)

Gillum is gonna have hella coattails when November comes. Those will probably include many house seats.

[NCTraveler]

3. Gillum is not an incumbent. nt

[NCTraveler]

4. This is funny.

Link to tweet

[NCTraveler]

6. This is a robo poll commissioned by democratic consultant Christian Ulvert.

I don't see where he released the internals. Just some numbers. Let me know if you can find it. Thanks.

[Awsi Dooger]

7. It appears to have a Democratic slant by several points

I base that on Trump approval rating in Florida, which is listed at 46 positive 49 negative in this poll, but I live in Florida and most versions have had it the opposite, with Trump roughly 50% approval and several points net positive.

For example, if you use this political link that was posted here a day or two ago and click on Florida with either the governor or senate race, it lists Trump approval in the state at 50%

https://www.political-atlas.com/senate/fl

Overall the polls are good news but we need to many sources, and from some balanced pollsters not affiliated with either side.

From instinct as a Miamian I have to believe the governor race is very close to even right now, while Nelson probably trails by several points. If Nelson had Gillum's enthusiasm he would be considerably ahead.

Besides, Nelson's new commercials need to be scraped immediately. They make him look like a tired old man. It doesn't matter what words are coming out of his mouth when he looks like that. I can't believe nobody from the campaign realized it. The images fall smack into Scott's theme of a guy who has been around too long. Nelson needs new spots where he shows himself doing various things in more energetic fashion while voicing over the spot instead of speaking directly on camera. That's when he looks worn out. Maybe it will improve in the debates.

[NCTraveler]

8. One of the few numbers released is the...

Huge margin for Gillum among independents. It doesn’t make sense with the final numbers. I found some additional numbers just now: http://floridapolitics.com/archives/273559-heres-the-first-post-primary-poll-of-florida-governor-race

Extremely poor.

[Vinca]

9. If all the sane people come out to vote, there's no way they can lose.

[The Liberal Lion]

11. As a Floridian I think you give the state way too much credit for sanity

Remember we are the state of "Florida Man".

[Vinca]

14. You have to stay optimistic. And hope Florida Man doesn't vote. LOL.

[groundloop]

15. If all the sane people had come out to vote in 2016..........

I don't even need to finish that thought. We need to make damned sure our voters are energized and get to the polls. Never forget that repubs are very good at disinformation, disenfranchisement, and dirty tricks.

[The Liberal Lion]

10. Scott is way too close for comfort

[book_worm]

12. Senate race is a dead heat, but considering that Nelson is being outspent 3-1

on TV--it's better than I expected.

[msongs]

13. twitter plus robo poll lol. must be true. nt