Even if Mitt Romney wins, he's still in trouble and here's why:

[Liberal_Stalwart71]

1. Even though he has name recognition, he cannot get over 25%
2. Rick Santorum, who doesn't have name recognition, money or ground game, is giving Romney a fight
3. 41% of Iowa caucus goers were Undecided and that cannot be good news for him
4. Low voter turnout and lack of enthusiasm
5. Even with the $15 million or so spent on negative campaign ads, he's still running too closely to Santorum
6. The Democrats will have a great deal of material in which to use against Mittens should he become the nominee
7. The longer we wait on these close contests, the more trouble Mittens is in

[Liberal_Stalwart71]

2. I didn't assert that he wasn't going to be the nominee or that he can't win.

I just think that it's going to be more difficult for the reasons that I stated.

Undoubtedly, Mitt Romney WILL be the Republican nominee for president. I just want it to play out for as long as possible. And well...because I hate this guy with a passion!

[RBInMaine]

3. Obama will win the general election. FLIP Romney is a fucking joke.

[lindysalsagal]

4. GOP true believers don't want to participate in a losing proposition.

That's why Obama won: The bigots stayed home, rather than risk voting for the loser white veteran old guy.

The bigots are staying home.

Obama's in, but I hope he gets enough of the senate to re-grow a pair.

[Ikonoklast]

5. 8. Third Party candidate running to his Right.

The Teabagger Evangelical Racists will vote for 'Other Than Romney' in a heartbeat.

[Liberal_Stalwart71]

6. It'll be interesting to test that theory once we're in South Carolina. :)

[Ikonoklast]

8. I want either Paul or Santorum to get enough money and support to hamstring Mitt.

Please, South Carolina, embrace your inner Secessionist and fracture the Republican Party!

[Liberal_Stalwart71]

11. Yes, and the reason that I want Romney to lose is because he's already got NH wrapped up.

If he wins IA and NH, then follows up with a close 2nd in SC and a win in FL, then it's over! He has enough money, the Corporate Media behind him, and the big wigs in the establishment who want him.

Even if he loses tonight, he has the money to keep going. The others do not.

[Ikonoklast]

14. Romney will spend whatever it takes for a Florida win.

In Politics, as in racing, there is no substitute for cubic money.

I just hope that all the anti-Romney sentiment can coalesce behind one other candidate, and keep Romney running as hard as he can, beating him up every inch of the way.

I hope the nutcase South Carolinians put him third.

I'd love to see this go to their convention.

[Liberal_Stalwart71]

15. You're making my point beautifully. The more money he spends on these primaries/caucuses

the better it is for us. Let's hope it works out in our favor.

[Bjorn Against]

7. I think his biggest threat comes when other candidates start dropping out

If the Tea Party gets united behind a single candidate then Romney is done, the only reason he has a chance is the far right is splitting their votes. If Bachmann and Perry drop out tomorrow then Romney is in big trouble.

[Pryderi]

10. Yep. Could catapult Santorum into the lead in the GOP.

[Odin2005]

9. 8. He's Mormon, Southern Pukes HATE Mormons.

Mittens will get his ass kicked in the Southern primaries.

[sarcasmo]

12. Magic Undies is not in trouble, big money is backing him.

[Liberal_Stalwart71]

13. Again, I didn't say that he's not going to win the nomination. My theory is that it'll be harder

for him even if he does win tonight.

Now, Debbie Wasserman Schultz made an excellent point: The Republicans keep telling us that this is THEIR year. They keep telling us that they should win this election and dominate the elections this year. The problem is that they are having trouble rallying around their chosen leader: Mitt Romney.

Again, my theory stands. If Romney is having trouble in Iowa; if he cannot even get past the 25% that he hasn't been able to surpass at all, then he's in trouble. Not saying that we won't win in the end, but that he'll be forced to spend more money, more time, fighting in the primaries than he should fighting Obama.

And for me, that's great news. I hate Romney with a passion!

[deacon]

16. This showing no matter what is destroying him. n/t

[Liberal_Stalwart71]

17. Exactly! You get it! This man has been running in Iowa for the last 5 years and he STILL can't wrap

up this state and win it outright without fighting against a no-name candidate in Rick Santorum or a nutbag like Ron Paul?

Something is wrong with that.

[1stlady]

18. ?

...won't nominate him. That's incorrect.

They will nominate him because 1) nearly all
Republicans *CAN* vote for him and 2) Romney
will draw more independents than any of the other
clowns, allowing him to quite-possibly win the
General Election.

Tesha

______________________

Mittens would draw more indy support that Paul?

[Liberal_Stalwart71]

19. Misreading my OP. Didn't say he won't win the nomination. I said that it'll be harder.

Read upthread for the conversation.

[Kalidurga]

20. I think that there is a chance Romney won't win the nomination...

he probably will, but with his credentials he should be a shoo in and he has to campaign and at the same time keep a low profile. He has to wait til all the other candidates self-combust and be the last one standing to have a real chance at the nomination.