CBS has Cruz up 10 on latest poll

[Legends303]

I hope our Texas friends get out the vote enough for Beto to win because this poll does not look good for Beto.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2018/senate/tx/texas_senate_cruz_vs_orourke-6310.html

[nycbos]

1. Not a surprise

Republican voters are coming home to Cruz even if they don't like him. Texas is probably two or three cycles away from being competitive.

[Tiggeroshii]

4. Beto isnt giving up before election day

Neither should we. Polls mean little in situations like these.

[nycbos]

6. Of course we shouldn't give up.

Never give up. But I am not optimistic.

[Tiggeroshii]

10. Polls showed heitkamp losing by an average of 6 points in 2012

On election day. Beto is right now losing by 7 in averages ( this poll included). Heitkamp won in 2012. So could Beto. Polls dont matter close to the extent that votes will.

[nycbos]

14. I agree.

Fight to the end. I donated to Heitkamp after she voted no.

I would love it be wrong. The idea of beating Cruz is wonderful.

[getagrip_already]

12. NOT a CBS poll!

This isn't the A rated CBS/NY times pollster. It is a local cbs affiliate (CBS11) working with dixie strategies poll. Dixie strategies is a banned pollster by 538 because there polls are so poor and tilted.

Ignore it.

[NurseJackie]

24. Thank you for the extra info!! :-) Good to know!!

[book_worm]

34. Thanks I was just going to post the same.

[marlakay]

42. Aren't most local CBS stations owned by Sinclair now?

Mine is and they are sneaking more and more right wing stuff in local news.

[The_Counsel]

13. "Texas is probably two or three cycles away from being competitive."

I keep hearing that every cycle, though.

I guess that's the frustrating part....

[getagrip_already]

25. that's possible... but

I'm from MA. a DEEP blue state to say the least. But we lost a senate seat, Kennedy's senate seatt, to Scot Brown.

Upsets can happen.

You just need an upstart challenger and a weak candidate, and an off cycle.

Maybe TX isn't ready to be blue, but don't rule out the upstart's chances in THIS cycle.

There are a lot of reasons the poll's could be missing a lot of voters this cycle in tx. Roll with it. Personally, I'm enjoying watching cruz sweat and squirm.

[hurl]

27. Great points...

If nothing else, we made the Republicans spend a LOT more than they expected to have to. Win or lose, our hope is that we diverted GOP money from other races of national importance enough to have an impact elsewhere.

[Tiggeroshii]

2. As the saying goes

Only one poll matters.

Knock, call, donate!

[Funtatlaguy]

3. Move the money to other winnable races.

As much as we all love Beto, I’m afraid it’s a lost cause.
Arizona, Nevada, and Tennessee are all winnable flips from red to blue.
If we take those three and only lose one current seat, probably ND, we win the Senate.

[qazplm135]

9. agree on first two

suspect TN is as much fool's gold as TX.

I mean we gotta try because what's the alternative, but the map simply is too red this cycle to expect the miracle we are all hoping for. If it comes great, and we gotta vote anyways because you gotta play the game...but the odds aren't great.

[Funtatlaguy]

17. Recent polling has Bredesen anywhere from 1 up to 4 down.

He is surging while Beto is fading.

[pangaia]

11. NY 27th Congressional District.

Nate McMurray just went past Collins in one poll...



maybe Beto (and others AND the DNC) can send him some much needed $ FAST !!!!!!!

[LanternWaste]

15. And we were told Doug Jones was a lost cause in the AL special election

And we were told Doug Jones was a lost cause in the AL special election and anyone who believed he would win was simply "delusional..."

Hence, I've learned not to take the prophets on DU with any more seriousness than I'd give to a televangelist.

[Tiggeroshii]

16. Nobody actually knows what will happen

Which is why it is so important to knock, call, donate and vote regardless of what we think the result of a race might be.

[BannonsLiver]

26. How does "moving the money work" in your eyes?

Because O’Rourke has raised gobs of money on his own and hasn’t needed a lot of help from the party. Sounds like you’re advocating his campaign giving money they worked hard to raise to candidates in other states which is of course both ludicrous highly and unlikely.

[Funtatlaguy]

28. No. Sorry. I meant the DSCC and guys like Steyer.

[blogslut]

36. What money?

Beto's money? AFAIK, Congressman O'Rourke raised his funds from individuals and is not taking money from the party. I could be wrong.

[JCanete]

5. jesus, that is fucking insanity, cultivated by big money over decades. nt

[Ellipsis]

7. That's "Dixie Strategies" and a local CBS affiliate. yesterday with Quinpac, within 5

[Baitball Blogger]

8. On the other hand, if you were Mexican American, would you pick up the phone

and answer a pollster?

[LeftInTX]

37. There are plenty of Mexican American Republicans...lots of them

I live in a neighborhood full of them....kinda like Cubans in Miami.

Oh and there are some stupid people who voting for Cruz cuz of his name.

I'm married to a Mexican American and my kids are Mexican American and my son's are married to Mexican Americans.
Heck, we are annoying pollster people ourselves.

[allgood33]

18. I am going for the fools gold. I am holding out that a lot of those folks polled will be voting for

Beto and just don't want to be on film saying so or they are just backlashing against pollsters. Al lot of those registered GOP will not be voting GOP. Not much to really like about Cruz.

[Beaverhausen]

19. I think there are a lot of newly registered voters who are not being polled

at least that's what I'm hoping.

[DFW]

20. Others are WAY closer. This one is worth pulling out all the stops for.

I have given Beto four figures and sent in my itemized absentee ballot weeks ago.

Of course, if it were just Dallas, we would have put Cruz-you-lose to snooze long ago.

[LBM20]

21. OTHER REPLIES HERE ARE SHOWING THIS IS A BAD VERY REPUBLICAN POLL. FORGET ABOUT IT!!

[DFW]

22. Already forgotten.

Not counting Beto out period. Cruz disgusts wherever he goes. Beto wins people over wherever he goes.

We may be majority Republican (for now, and on paper), but Beto is straight and personable, as well as in the know about the issues. Cruz is just one more tired Republican spouting their tired lines.

We do not buy your phony ruse.
We do not want you, Cruz-you-lose.

[dalton99a]

38. +1. Early voting is still going on

and the enthusiasm among younger people is huge. Younger people also don't do polls - because they don't like to accept spam calls

[Renew Deal]

23. Hillary lost in Texas 52-43

O'Rourke will do better than that.

[dem4decades]

29. Texas just disappoints. It's not just that they may not elect Beto

But they may elect the despicable Ted Cruz.

Again

[Sparkly]

30. Texas does have its own "special" textbooks...

[vercetti2021]

31. So just give up?

One poll like this doesn't mean a goddamn thing

[TomSlick]

32. Yeah, the polls had HRC winning in a walk too.

VOTE!

[Snotcicles]

33. I hope every straight ticket voter double checks the ballot before they register the vote. nt

[Demovictory9]

35. noooooooo

[blogslut]

39. We'll see.

I've had my heart broken before. However, he could win anyway. It's not just about him getting national attention or raising record amounts of money without PACs. This guy has been to every corner and cranny of Texas. The big cities are blue, that's just a fact. It's the smaller towns and rural areas that kill us. If he can pull enough votes out of these spread-out districts he could win. Ted Cruz knows this and is spending more money on ads in my area than I've ever seen for a US senate race.

You want to know why voter turnout in Texas is so bad? Because, for decades, it's always been a done deal. Republicans win. The Texas Democratic party, as an organization, barely existed when I joined DU in 2004. In those years I've seen it wake up, crawl, walk, stumble and fall, get back up again, walk, gain momentum and now, we're about to run.

Texas is a big old giant. Electing one Democratic senator doesn't make us automatically blue. We're probably going get second terms from Abbott and Patrick.

If Beto wins it won't have been a miracle. They'll call it that but they'll be wrong. Robert Fitzgerald O'Rourke did the work. Thousands of good citizens are out there block-walking, phone banking and texting for him, every day.

Things may not go our way but then again, they could.

[Kaleva]

40. False headline in OP

This is NOT a CBS poll. It's a poll done by Dixie Strategies for a CBS affiliate.

[Progressive Jones]

41. The only poll that counts will be taken Nov.6th! Be there!!! nt