Democrats Match or Exceed Republicans on Turnout Indicators

[DemocratSinceBirth]

WASHINGTON, D.C. -- In a departure from Republicans' usual lead on midterm turnout indicators, Democrats appear to be on par with or possibly ahead of Republicans in eagerness and intent to vote this year. Three-quarters of both party groups, 74%, say they are "absolutely certain" they will vote on or before Election Day. Republicans and Democrats are also about equally likely to report feeling "more enthusiastic than usual" about voting. At the same time, Democrats are more likely than Republicans to say they have given "quite a lot of thought" to the election.

...


Bottom Line
While the proportion of Americans who vote in midterm elections is important for civic reasons, the difference in turnout between Republicans and Democrats holds potentially greater significance, as this can affect the outcome. On the eve of the 2018 midterms, all signs point to Democrats holding their own with Republicans on turnout.

This is notable because typical Republican advantages on voter turnout help the party overcome Democrats' usual advantage in party identification among the adult population, and therefore in voter support for Democratic candidates. Without that advantage, Republicans are far less likely to retain their majority in the U.S. House in this election.



https://news.gallup.com/poll/244199/democrats-match-exceed-republicans-turnout-indicators.aspx

[beachbum bob]

1. The key are the independent voters who will be supporting who?...what

about educated women...Hispanics...latinos....young people?... demographics that can blow this election wide open.

And of course the anger fueling America to reject trump and his racist supporters...

[samnsara]

2. 'possibly ahead'?

..well that worries me!

[WhiteTara]

3. I understand many of the early voting republicons are

voting straight blue this time. I read this incredibly long thread of ex-republicons confessing their years of being asleep and how they are now voting for their lives. I was incredibly heartened by this news, anecdotal as it is.