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BamaRefugee

(3,483 posts)
Sun Nov 4, 2018, 03:48 PM Nov 2018

SERIOUS QUESTION: are the pollsters factoring in Russian election interference?

They had a superb ROOKIE SEASON in 2016, and now, totally unfettered by any efforts at stopping them by the trump administration, they have had TWO FULL YEARS to further up their game and hone their techniques.
I have absolutely NO reason to think they won't be at it again, with potentially more devastating results. And although everyone likes to portray Rethuglicans as being in panic mode right now, I'm just leery enough to think that they are actually WAY too calm right now about the upcoming results.

Do any of you think there will be "meddling" (such a cute, archaic, "white rurals" word) this time??


And if so, do you think there are any *heroes* out there in the government who have taken it upon themselves to fight back against Putin's hackers?


Keeping my fingers crossed, as well as my legs and my eyes and frequently making the sign of the cross every time I think about it!

11 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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SERIOUS QUESTION: are the pollsters factoring in Russian election interference? (Original Post) BamaRefugee Nov 2018 OP
F*ck Putin! blogslut Nov 2018 #1
How would you want them to factor in Russian interference? bearsfootball516 Nov 2018 #2
That's right SCantiGOP Nov 2018 #4
Don't think "Highly Experienced Pollster" is in my profile. How do they factor anything else in? BamaRefugee Nov 2018 #6
I think... Mike Nelson Nov 2018 #3
If Trump and the rethugs have anything to do with it ... lpbk2713 Nov 2018 #5
This is a state by state, district by dsitrict vote. crosinski Nov 2018 #7
True. And just what I was thinking, they only need to throw a few key races to cause chaos BamaRefugee Nov 2018 #9
The big problem is edhopper Nov 2018 #8
That too. What is the "margin of error" for, if not for things like this? BamaRefugee Nov 2018 #10
The Dems need a 5% advantage edhopper Nov 2018 #11

SCantiGOP

(13,869 posts)
4. That's right
Sun Nov 4, 2018, 04:04 PM
Nov 2018

Reminds me of something a colleague said in a business meeting once: “Have we accounted for all of the unknown factors?”
Uh, well, no we haven’t.

BamaRefugee

(3,483 posts)
6. Don't think "Highly Experienced Pollster" is in my profile. How do they factor anything else in?
Sun Nov 4, 2018, 04:27 PM
Nov 2018

I KNOW there has to be more to polling than just asking 100 people a question and then taking that as gospel.

Mike Nelson

(9,954 posts)
3. I think...
Sun Nov 4, 2018, 03:58 PM
Nov 2018

… the answer is Yes. The pollsters want to be correct in their predictions. The polls said Hillary Clinton would win, and she did. However, the electoral college and the Russians said Trump won. So, they need to change their polling samples to factor in the electoral college and the Russians... so they can be trusted and correct in their predictions.

lpbk2713

(42,757 posts)
5. If Trump and the rethugs have anything to do with it ...
Sun Nov 4, 2018, 04:08 PM
Nov 2018



they will give Vlad & Co as much of a free hand as they can.

crosinski

(411 posts)
7. This is a state by state, district by dsitrict vote.
Sun Nov 4, 2018, 05:48 PM
Nov 2018

Different than the presidential election when they just had to swing a few votes in a few states to move enough electoral votes Trump's way. Could be they're interfering with a few prized elections, but I think even Putin and his gang would be hard pressed to deal with all 50 states and their individual district elections. At least, I hope so!

BamaRefugee

(3,483 posts)
9. True. And just what I was thinking, they only need to throw a few key races to cause chaos
Sun Nov 4, 2018, 06:16 PM
Nov 2018

Wouldn't even have to be pro-Republican, for instance if the election officials could show that Democratic ballots "accidentally" had more than one vote cast for the Democrat, they could try to nullify the election.

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