Canaries In The Coal Mine: Races To Watch Early On Election Night - from Talking Points Memo
By Cameron Joseph
November 6, 2018 11:44 am
Happy Election Day! Voters of all stripes are anxiously awaiting election results. For those who can’t stand the suspense and are struggling in the calm before the storm, here are some early raindrops to keep an eye on.
The bad news: You’ll have to wait until after 6 p.m. ET to get any results in, and 7 p.m. before you can get a clearer sense of where things are heading.
The good news: The first few states where polls close have some big races to watch.
The first race we may know about is the closely watched battle between Rep. Andy Barr (R-KY) and former Marine fighter pilot Amy McGrath. Eastern Kentucky polls close at 6 p.m. EST. The Lexington-based district leans heavily Republican, but McGrath’s strong campaign has put it on the map, and her huge fundraising advantage has allowed her to weather an onslaught of attacks from GOP outside groups to keep the race close.
Strategists in both parties see a coin-flip race. If she’s winning, that’s a good sign Democrats will take the House. If she isn’t it could be a longer night, and though Democrats have plenty of other routes to the majority if she’s getting blown out that’s a bad sign.
An hour later comes Virginia, the entirety of Indiana and Georgia, all of which have crucial races, as well as parts of Florida with key House battles.
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https://talkingpointsmemo.com/dc/canaries-in-the-coal-mine-races-to-watch-early-on-election-night
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