Does anybody know what areas are uncounted in Montana and Arizona and are they good for Dems?

[DemocratSinceBirth]

Thank you in advance.

[JonLP24]

1. 6 counties are at 98 to 99%

58% chance McSally wins

https://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/arizona-senate

[grantcart]

6. See below

There could be hundreds of thousands of walked in ballots as per the Hill.

No one knows how many or where and it takes a couple of days to examine the signatures on the envelopes, get accepted and count them.

In canvassing I met a lot of Dems who wanted to walk their mail in ballot in to make sure it was counted.

[grantcart]

2. It appears in AZ that what hasn't been counted are the mail in votes that were walked in

They need to be verified and opened like regular mail in ballots.

No one knows how many there are or what districts they come from

The Hill has a report but I am on the phone and can't link

[joshcryer]

3. Unfortunately a lot of those will have Green spoilers.

Since they would've been cast before the Green candidate dropped out and endorsed the Dem.

[grantcart]

9. Actually all of them would have been cast after, as they walked them in

But who knows what a Green will do.

[joshcryer]

10. Ooh, I got you.

They had mail in votes but rather than mailing them in they took them to a voting center? Didn't think about that. I don't think that'll be enough to change the tide, though.

[grantcart]

11. Cut off for mail in is 31st. During my last canvassing there were A LOT of Dems

Who wanted to walk it in too make sure.

I am confident that we will close the gap but don't know if it is enough.

If we win by less than 100 I am taking person credit for the win

[joshcryer]

12. Haha, dang, you're giving me hope now.

Don't do this!

[grantcart]

13. I know right? AZ Congressional delegation is now 5 Dems and 4 GOP

You can hope but just a little.

[boston bean]

4. Yes. Most dem votes.

[blitzen]

5. If you follow this link then click on the state...

then hold your cursor over the county, you can see the breakdown. It looks like there are lots of Tester votes still uncounted, especially in Missoula and Gallatin counties

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/11/06/us/elections/results-senate-elections.html

[grantcart]

7. Missoula is heavily Democratic

[blitzen]

14. with less than half the Missoula precints counted, Tester is up by 9500 in that county...

but he only trails by 3000 in in the race overall. Less than half of Gallatin counted, where Tester leads by 6000. The rest of the state is a wash at best for Rosendale. Not sure if absentees have been counted, but they likely lean toward Tester. Looks like Tester can't lose absent the to-be-expected GOP attempts to cheat.

[2naSalit]

16. Thanks.

[2naSalit]

8. Thanks, good to know.

Gallatin and Missoula are the most blue counties in the state so I expect that Tester can pull out a win in the end. Used to vote in Gallatin County. Aside from that, there are the absentee ballots, one third of all votes cast are absentee, mine is.

I am now more hopeful than I was ten minutes ago. I'm really bummed about Williams losing to that fucking dickhead body slammer. We have ONE Rep in the House and it's that POS who is a former business partner with the R Senator for the state. At least we have a good Democratic Governor who got us expanded medicaid in spite of our R legislature.

[blitzen]

15. see post #14 for some numbers from Missoula and Gallatin n/t